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. 2017 Jan;180:53–61.e3. doi: 10.1016/j.jpeds.2016.09.059

Table III.

Cross-sectional analysis of z score BMI from birth to adulthood and adult cardiovascular risk outcomes

Men Women
Model 1 Model 2 Model 1 Model 2
β (95% CI) P value β (95% CI) P value β (95% CI) P value β (95% CI) P value
WC(cm)
 Birth 0.95(0.27,1.63) .007 -0.21(-0.48,0.05) .1 0.67(0.06,1.29) .03 0.04(-0.22,0.31) .8
 3 mo 1.22(0.53,1.91) .001 -0.18(-0.45,0.09) .2 0.89(0.23,1.55) .009 -0.08(-0.37,0.20) .6
 6.5 y 0.66(0.03,1.29) .04 -0.46(-0.72,-0.20) <.001 0.99(0.39,1.60) .001 -0.01(-0.27,0.26) 1.0
 15 y 4.14(3.66,5.17) <.001 -0.57(-0.94,-0.20) .003 3.49(2.82,4.16) <.001 -0.70(-1.07,-0.33) <.001
 28 y 9.10(8.79,9.41) <.001 - 8.22(7.91,8.53) <.001 -
SBP(mm Hg)
 Birth -0.02(-0.78,0.75) 1.0 -0.54(-1.26,0.18) .1 0.42(-0.35,1.19) .3 0.14(-0.59,0.87) .7
 3 mo 0.27(-0.50,1.03) .5 -0.47(-1.19,0.26) .2 0.68(-0.14,1.51) .1 0.23(-0.57,1.03) .6
 6.5 y 0.30(-0.43,1.02) .4 -0.04(-0.73,0.65) .9 0.20(-0.58,0.99) .6 -0.15(-0.91,0.61) .7
 15 y 1.60(0.65,2.54) .001 -0.62(-1.66,0.43) .2 1.74(0.81,2.66) <.001 0.17(-0.89,1.22) .8
 28 y 3.91(3.22,4.60) <.001 - 3.59(2.84,4.33) <.001 -
Log glucose 120-min(mmol/L)
 Birth -0.01(-0.03,0.01) .2 -0.02(-0.04,-0.00) .03 -0.02(-0.04,0.00) .05 -0.02(-0.04,-0.00) .02
 3 mo -0.00(-0.02,0.02) .9 -0.01(-0.03,0.01) .4 -0.01(-0.03,0.01) .3 -0.01(-0.03,0.01) .4
 6.5 y -0.01(-0.03,0.01) .3 -0.02(-0.04,0.01) .01 -0.02(-0.03,0.00) .1 -0.03(-0.04,-0.01) .007
 15 y 0.00(-0.02,0.03) .9 -0.04(-0.07,-0.01) .003 0.00(-0.02,0.02) 1 -0.03(-0.06,-0.01) .01
 28 y 0.07(0.05,0.09) <.001 - 0.05(0.03,0.06) <.001 -
HOMA-IR
 Birth 0.06(-0.03,0.14) .2 0.03(-0.05,0.12) .4 0.05(-0.04,0.15) .3 0.03(-0.07,0.13) .6
 3 mo 0.03(-0.05,0.12) .5 -0.00(-0.09,0.08) 1.0 -0.01(-0.12,0.10) .8 -0.06(-0.16,0.05) .3
 6.5 y -0.03(-0.11,0.05) .5 -0.05(-0.12,0.03) .3 0.08(-0.02,0.18) .1 0.05(-0.05,0.15) .4
 15 y -0.03(-0.13,0.07) .6 -0.12(-0.23,-0.01) .04 0.09(-0.03,0.21) .1 -0.11(-0.25,0.03) .1
 28 y 0.18(0.10,0.26) <.001 - 0.29(0.19,0.38) <.001 -
Cholesterol(mmol/L)
 Birth -0.00(-0.06,0.06) 1.0 -0.03(-0.09,0.03) .3 0.02(-0.04,0.08) .5 0.01(-0.05,0.06) .8
 3 mo -0.00(-0.07,0.06) .9 -0.04(-0.10,0.02) .2 -0.00(-0.06,0.06) 1.0 -0.02(-0.08,0.04) .6
 6.5 y -0.01(-0.07,0.04) .6 -0.06(-0.11,0.00) .05 0.01(-0.05,0.06) .9 -0.03(-0.09,0.02) .3
 15 y 0.13(0.06,0.21) .001 -0.02(-0.10,0.07) .7 0.03(-0.04,0.10) .4 -0.10(-0.18,-0.02) .01
 28 y 0.28(0.23,0.34) <.001 - 0.21(0.15,0.27) <.001 -
Log triglycerides(mmol/L)
 Birth -0.00(-0.04,0.03) .9 -0.03(-0.06,0.01) .1 -0.00(-0.03,0.03) .8 -0.02(-0.05,0.02) .3
 3 mo 0.02(-0.02,0.05) .4 -0.01(-0.05,0.02) .5 0.00(-0.03,0.04) 1.0 -0.02(-0.05,0.02) .4
 6.5 y -0.01(-0.05,0.02) .5 -0.04(-0.07,-0.01) .02 0.02(-0.01,0.05) .3 -0.01(-0.04,0.02) .6
 15 y 0.07(0.03,0.12) .001 -0.04(-0.09,0.01) .1 0.03(-0.01,0.07) .1 -0.08(-0.12,-0.03) .001
 28 y 0.20(0.16,0.23) <.001 - 0.17(0.13,0.20) <.001 -
HDL cholesterol(mmol/L)
 Birth 0.00(-0.02,0.02) .8 0.01(-0.01,0.02) .5 0.00(-0.01,0.02) .7 0.01(-0.01,0.02) .4
 3 mo -0.00(-0.02,0.02) .8 0.00(-0.02,0.02) .8 -0.01(-0.03,0.01) .3 -0.01(-0.02,0.01) .6
 6.5 y 0.00(-0.01,0.02) .6 0.01(-0.01,0.02) .3 -0.01(-0.03,0.01) .2 -0.01(-0.03,0.01) .3
 15 y -0.01(0.03,0.01) .5 0.01(-0.01,0.04) .3 -0.02(-0.04,0.01) .1 0.00(-0.02,0.03) .8
 28 y -0.02(-0.04,-0.01) <.001 - -0.04(-0.05,-0.02) <.001 -

Separate regression analyses were performed for BMI at each age. β represents unit change in outcome variable with unit change in z BMI. Total number of individuals at each time point were: (males) 981 at birth, 834 at 3 months, 874 at 6.5 years, 558 at 15 years, and 981 at 28 years; and (females): 897 at birth, 779 at 3 months, 806 at 6.5 years, 550 at 15 years, and 897 at 28 years. Model 1 was adjusted for adult age, Model 2 was additionally adjusted for adult size (BMI and height). Other covariates included in both models were age, rural/urban residence (at birth and currently), education, household material possessions, smoking, alcohol consumption, and physical activity.