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. 2016 Dec;5(6):898–908. doi: 10.21037/tau.2016.10.02

Table 1. Observational studies (only prospective studies): the effects of total-, free-, and bioavailable-testosterone on CVD events are presented as beneficial (friendly)*, detrimental (foe) or no effects at all (bystander) in terms of their magnitude of association and statistical significance.

Study author and year Study design Number of participants for independent studies Follow-up (years) Exposure (high levels vs. low levels or continuous increment of 1 S.D.) Cardiovascular events (n) Results: only fully-adjusted multivariable models SS P<0.05 or NS
Beneficial (friendly) effects* OR’s, RR’s or HR’s that are lower or equal to 0.90
   Yeap et al., 2009 (17)a Population prospective study 3,443 Median follow-up 3.5 Total testosterone, nmol/liter [high vs. low <11.7 (ref.)] Incident stroke or TIA (n=119) HR =0.50 SS (P=0.001)
Free testosterone, pmol/liter [high vs. low <222 (ref.)] Incident stroke or TIA (n=119) HR =0.59 SS (P=0.008)
   Ohlsson et al., 2011 (18) Prospective population-based 2,416 Median follow-up 5 Total testosterone, ng/dL [(high vs. low quartile, ≥550 vs. ≤340 (ref.)) Major CV events (n=485) HR =0.71; 95% CI, 0.54–0.93 SS (P for trend=0.009)
Free testosterone, pg/mL [high vs. low quartile, ≥98.2 vs. ≤62.2 (ref.)] Major CV events (n=485) HR =0.84; 95% CI, 0.64–1.10 NS
   Shores et al., 2014 (19)b Longitudinal cohort study 1,032 Median follow-up 9 Total testosterone, ng/dL (≥278 vs. <278) Incident CVD (MI, stroke, CVD) (n=436) HR =0.90 NS
   Yeap et al., 2014 (20) Prospective community-based 3,690 Mean follow-up 6.6 Free testosterone, pmol/L; Q4 (216.3–699.0) vs. Q1 (3.54–150.3) Incident MI (n=344) HR =0.85; 95% CI, 0.61–1.17 NS
Total testosterone, nmol/L; Q4 (15.79–46.5) vs. Q1 (0.25–9.82) Incident of stroke (n=300) HR =0.56; 95% CI, 0.39-0.81 SS
Free testosterone, pmol/L; Q4 (216.3–699.0) vs. Q1 (3.5–150.4) Incident of stroke (n=300) HR =0.57; 95% CI, 0.39–0.81 SS
   Hak et al., 2002 (21) Population-based prospective study 504 6.5 Total testosterone, nmol/L; (T3 >12.6–≤36.8 vs. T1 ≥0–≤9.8) Aortic atherosclerosis (n=329) RR =0.40; 95% CI, 0.1–1.0 SS (P for trend=0.04)
Bioavailable testosterone, nmol/L; (T3 >7.5–≤28.7 vs. T1 ≥7.5–≤28.7) Aortic atherosclerosis (n=329) RR =0.20; 95% CI, 0.0–0.6 SS (P for trend=0.004)
   Khaw et al., 2007 (22)C Nested case-control study 1,858 Mean follow-up 7 Total testosterone, nmol/L (Q4 >19.6 vs. Q1 <12.5) CVD mortality (n=369) OR =0.53; 95% CI, 0.32–0.86 SS (P for trend <0.01)
Detrimental (foe) effects OR’s, RR’s or HR’s that are higher or equal to 1.10
   Vikan et al., 2009 (23) Population-based prospective study 1,568 9.1 Free testosterone (continuous increment 1 S.D.) IHD mortality (n=80) HR =1.16; 95% CI, 0.90–1.49 NS
1,318 9.1 Total testosterone [higher vs. lower quartile: >16.2 vs. <9.7 (ref.)] First-ever MI (n=144) HR =1.14; 95% CI, 0.68–1.89 NS
   Soisson et al., 2013 (24) Prospective cohort study 495 4 Total testosterone, ng/mL; [Q5 ≥6.89 vs. Q2 3.94–4.88 (ref.)] IAD (n=146) HR =3.61; 95% CI, 1.55–8.45 SS
Bioavailable testosterone, ng/mL; [Q5 ≥4.02 vs. Q2 2.35–2.87 (ref.)] IAD (n=146) HR =1.99; 95% CI, 0.90–4.35 NS
   Shores et al., 2014 (25) Prospective cohort study 1,032 Median follow-up 10 Total testosterone, ng/dL; [Q5 >800 vs. Q3 400–600 (ref.)] Incident ischemic stroke (n=114) HR =1.69; 95% CI, 0.51–5.60 NS
   Shores et al., 2014 (19)b Longitudinal cohort study 1,032 Median follow-up 9 Free testosterone, ng/dL; (≥4.1 vs. <4.1) Incident CVD (MI, stroke, CVD) (n=436) HR =1.15 NS
No effects at all (bystander) Neither beneficial nor detrimental
   Smith et al., 2005 (26) Prospective study 2,212 16.5 Total testosterone (continuous increment 1 S.D.) Fatal IHD (n=192) HR =0.94; 95% CI, 0.80–1.11; P=0.61 NS
Non-fatal IHD (n=320) OR =0.97; 95% CI, 0.84–1.12 NS
   Vikan et al., 2009 (23) Population-based prospective study 1,568 9.1 Total testosterone (continuous increment 1 S.D.) CVD mortality (n=133) HR =0.96; 95% CI, 0.80-1.15; P =0.68 NS
Free testosterone (continuous increment 1 S.D.) CVD mortality (n=133) HR =0.99; 95% CI, 0.80–1.23 NS
Total testosterone (continuous increment 1 S.D.) IHD mortality (n=80) HR =1.03; 95% CI, 0.82–1.29 NS
1,318 9.1 Total testosterone (continuous increment 1 S.D.) First-ever MI (n=144) HR =1.03; 95% CI, 0.86–1.23 NS
Free testosterone (continuous increment 1 S.D.) First-ever MI (n=143) HR =1.01; 95% CI, 0.83–1.24 NS
Free testosterone [higher vs. lower quartile: >241 vs. <159 (ref.)] First-ever MI (n=143) HR =0.96; 95% CI, 0.58–1.59 NS
   Haring et al., 2013 (27)d Prospective community-based 254 5 Total testosterone, ng/mL baseline Incident clinical CVD (n=56) HR =0.98; 95% CI, 0.77–1.25 NS
Total testosterone, ng/mL; meand-average Incident clinical CVD (n=56) HR =1.04; 95% CI, 0.81–1.33 NS
10 Total testosterone, ng/mL baseline Incident clinical CVD (n=92) HR =1.04; 95% CI, 0.86–1.26 NS
Total testosterone, ng/mL; meand Incident clinical CVD (n=92) HR =1.05; 95% CI, 0.87–1.27 NS
   Yeap et al., 2014 (20) Prospective community-based 3,690 Mean follow-up 6.6 Total testosterone, nmol/L; Q4 (15.79–46.50) vs. Q1 (0.25–9.82) Incident MI (n=344) HR =0.92; 95% CI, 0.66–1.28 NS

*, beneficial (friendly) effects is the magnitude of association such as odd ratios (OR’s), rate ratios (RR’s), or hazard ratios (HR’s) whether they are below or equal to 0.90; , detrimental (foe) effects if the OR’s, RR’s or HR’s are greater or equal to 1.10; , no effects at all (bystander) if it is neither friendly nor foe; , P trend for comparing highest quintiles of testosterone versus lowest quintile (HR for fatal IHD =0.93 and HR for non-fatal IHD =1.02, no 95% CI’s were provided); a, Yeap—we used the reciprocal of low testosterone vs. high testosterone to show the risk of stroke by comparing high vs. low testosterone levels; b, Shoes—we used the reciprocal of low testosterone vs. high testosterone to show the Incident CVD (MI, stroke, CVD) by comparing high vs. low testosterone levels; c, this nested case-control study included an average follow-up time of 7 years to assess the risk of CVD mortality. Therefore, we included in this table of prospective studies; d, mean: average sex steroid concentration calculated in each individual using measures from at least two and up to four examinations; SS, statistically significant; NS, not statistically significant; TIA, transient ischemic attack; IAD, ischemic arterial disease; IHD, ischemic heart disease; CVD, cardiovascular disease.