Type |
ABM |
DSMs |
Purpose |
Simulate the decision-making processes of Fishers in the Galapagos Islands with regards to employment choices and an alternate household livelihood strategy that would move those qualified into tourism (full- or part-time), given a variety of circumstances, desires, and personal characteristics. |
Generate future scenarios of human–environment interactions with a particular focus on the forces of change in tourism and residential growth, environmental degradation, and household demographics and community infrastructure variables. |
State Variable and Scale |
Employment in Fisheries, Government, and Tourism |
Invasive Species |
Household Demographics and Change |
Number and Capacity of Terrestrial/Marine Visitation Sites |
Household Expenses, Income, and Wealth |
Environmental Degradation |
Social Networks: Influence and Connectivity |
Energy Consumption |
Fisheries Season for Lobster and Sea Cucumber |
Land Use Patterns and Change |
Boat Access, Ownership, and Sailing Certification |
Interisland Transportation |
|
Mainland-to-Island Transportation |
Individual and Household Levels |
Hotel Occupancy Rate |
|
Community Infrastructure |
|
Archipelago Level |
Process Overview and Scheduling |
Time Step: Annual Updating |
Time Step: Monthly Updating |
Process: coupled human–natural systems to simulate decision-making processes of fishers relative to the pushes out of fishing and pulls into tourism and government employment, given expenses, income, wealth, and preparation for alternate employment possibilities. |
Process: population growth, including natural residential growth and in-migration, drives changes in different components of the Galapagos social and environmental system, with community infrastructure, transportation, environmental quality, and household demographics affecting human–environment interactions. |
Design Concepts |
Human–Environment Interactions and Complexity |
Human–Environment Interactions |
Household Livelihood Theory |
Carrying Capacity |
Emergence of Employment Opportunities |
Evolution of a Tourism Destination |
Input Data |
Household Survey Data |
Official Entry Form of Tourism 1979–2013 |
Cadastral Data |
Census Data at the Block Level |
Number of Licensed Fishers |
Urban Cadastral Maps |
Census Data at the Block Level |
Official Records for Energy Use and Waste Production |
Job Opportunities by Employment Sectors |
Statistics on Transportation |
Submodels |
Demographic Change at the Household Level |
Invasive Species |
Employment Management |
Capacity of Visitation Sites |
Fisher Skills Change |
Environmental Quality and Degradation |
Number and Distribution of Jobs |
Energy Consumption |
Fisher and Household Expenses, Income, and Wealth |
Land Use Change |
Fisher and Household Connectivity Through Social Networks |
Interisland Transportation |
|
Mainland–Islands Transportation |
|
Hotel Occupancy Rates |
Reference |
Walsh and Mena (7, 8) |
Pizzitutti et al. (23) |