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. 2016 Oct 10;113(51):14536–14543. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1604990113

Table 1.

ODD for the system dynamic models of the Galapagos Islands

Variable GF-ABM SDGI
Type ABM DSMs
Purpose Simulate the decision-making processes of Fishers in the Galapagos Islands with regards to employment choices and an alternate household livelihood strategy that would move those qualified into tourism (full- or part-time), given a variety of circumstances, desires, and personal characteristics. Generate future scenarios of human–environment interactions with a particular focus on the forces of change in tourism and residential growth, environmental degradation, and household demographics and community infrastructure variables.
State Variable and Scale Employment in Fisheries, Government, and Tourism Invasive Species
Household Demographics and Change Number and Capacity of Terrestrial/Marine Visitation Sites
Household Expenses, Income, and Wealth Environmental Degradation
Social Networks: Influence and Connectivity Energy Consumption
Fisheries Season for Lobster and Sea Cucumber Land Use Patterns and Change
Boat Access, Ownership, and Sailing Certification Interisland Transportation
Mainland-to-Island Transportation
Individual and Household Levels Hotel Occupancy Rate
Community Infrastructure
Archipelago Level
Process Overview and Scheduling Time Step: Annual Updating Time Step: Monthly Updating
Process: coupled human–natural systems to simulate decision-making processes of fishers relative to the pushes out of fishing and pulls into tourism and government employment, given expenses, income, wealth, and preparation for alternate employment possibilities. Process: population growth, including natural residential growth and in-migration, drives changes in different components of the Galapagos social and environmental system, with community infrastructure, transportation, environmental quality, and household demographics affecting human–environment interactions.
Design Concepts Human–Environment Interactions and Complexity Human–Environment Interactions
Household Livelihood Theory Carrying Capacity
Emergence of Employment Opportunities Evolution of a Tourism Destination
Input Data Household Survey Data Official Entry Form of Tourism 1979–2013
Cadastral Data Census Data at the Block Level
Number of Licensed Fishers Urban Cadastral Maps
Census Data at the Block Level Official Records for Energy Use and Waste Production
Job Opportunities by Employment Sectors Statistics on Transportation
Submodels Demographic Change at the Household Level Invasive Species
Employment Management Capacity of Visitation Sites
Fisher Skills Change Environmental Quality and Degradation
Number and Distribution of Jobs Energy Consumption
Fisher and Household Expenses, Income, and Wealth Land Use Change
Fisher and Household Connectivity Through Social Networks Interisland Transportation
Mainland–Islands Transportation
Hotel Occupancy Rates
Reference Walsh and Mena (7, 8) Pizzitutti et al. (23)