Table 3.
Posterior probabilities of four demographic models for the populations on four continental islands
| Population | Demographic modela | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 | |
| Jeju | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.817 | 0.183 |
| Kyushu | 0.547 | 0.158 | 0.145 | 0.150 |
| Shikoku | 0.112 | 0.550 | 0.025 | 0.313 |
| Kii | 0.488 | 0.188 | 0.149 | 0.176 |
The models accepted are shown in boldface.
a
Model 1, standard neutral model; Model 2, exponential growth model; Model 3, instantaneous size reduction model; Model 4, exponential growth after instantaneous size reduction model.