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. 2016 Dec 12;113(52):E8379–E8386. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1608461113

Table S4.

Probability of a Nanowell (in an array of 25,600) containing at most one cell

No. of cells seeded into single nanowell Probability of a well containing at most one cell, %
100 99.99
500 99.98
1,000 99.93
2,000 99.71
3,000 99.36
4,000 98.90
5,000 98.32
10,000 94.09
Consider the case of distributing n cells among m wells in a Nanowell array. For large values of m and n, the number of cells in a given Nanowell can be described by a Poisson random variable X. Then the probability that a given Nanowell contains at most one cell is given by the following:
XPois(nm),
P(Xκ)=1κ!(nm)κexp(nm),
P(X1)=P(X=0)+P(X=1)=(1+nm)exp(nm).