Fig. 5.

Expected national mortality reduction if access to severe in-patient treatment was universal. a prediction of the potential reduction in mortality rate (per year per 100,000) and (b) predictions of the potential reduction in mortality as a proportion of current predicted burden achieved by improving access to in-patient care. In both panels, the horizontal axis indicates predictions assuming the deaths-adjusted estimation method and the vertical axis indicates predictions assuming the prediction-biased estimation method. Each country is indicated via their country code (Table 2) and the black line represents the line of equality between the two estimates. In a the concordance correlation co-efficient was estimated as 0.87 with confidence interval of [0.77–0.93] indicating close agreement between the two mortality estimates. In b the concordance correlation co-efficient was estimated as 0.57 with confidence interval of [0.32–0.75] indicating moderate agreement between the two estimates