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. 2016 Oct 27;130(1):223–245. doi: 10.1007/s00122-016-2810-3

Table 3.

Performance levels 1983 and 2014, difference in performance levels between 2014 and 1983, and estimates of linear regression coefficients for trends

Traits Source Overall regression estimates Estimates of linear trends
Genetic Non-genetic Overall
Short name Unit 1983 2014 Diff. %Diff. Absolute SE % Absolute SE % Absolute SE %
GRAIN_Y dt ha−1 Trial 86.0 106.4 20.4*** 23.8 0.559*** 0.040 0.65 0.075 0.112 0.09 0.659*** 0.110 0.77
Trialb 85.5 105.6 20.1*** 23.5 0.541*** 0.041 0.63 0.074 0.111 0.09 0.647*** 0.108 0.76
On-farma 60.9 80.1 19.2*** 31.6 0.620*** 0.086 1.02
FALLING_N s Trial 296.4 313.7 17.3 5.8 1.375** 0.372 0.46 −0.930 0.736 −0.31 0.557 0.702 0.19
PROTEIN_C % Trial 13.6 12.5 −1.1*** −8.0 −0.028*** 0.004 −0.21 −0.006 0.008 −0.05 −0.035*** 0.007 −0.26
Trialb 13.7 12.7 −1.0*** −7.4 0.025*** 0.005 −0.19 −0.007 0.008 −0.05 −0.033*** 0.007 −0.24
On-farmb 12.9 13.1 0.2* 1.5 0.016* 0.007 0.13 −0.010 0.008 −0.07 0.008* 0.003 0.05
SEDIMNT_V ml Trial 40.6 43.8 3.2 7.9 −0.006 0.087 −0.02 0.072 0.067 0.18 0.103 0.066 0.26
Trialb 43.0 47.0 4.0 9.3 0.006 0.085 0.01 0.081 0.073 0.19 0.129 0.073 0.30
On-farmb 35.6 51.7 16.1*** 45.4 0.307*** 0.083 0.86 0.117 0.063 0.33 0.542*** 0.045 1.46
HARDNESS % Trial 48.6 55.1 6.5* 13.4 0.064* 0.032 0.13 0.128** 0.041 0.26 0.002* 0.210 0.43
WATER_A % Trial 57.9 58.6 0.7 1.2 −0.011 0.017 −0.02 0.026 0.023 0.05 0.022 0.022 0.04
MINERAL_C % Trial 0.48 0.46 −0.03 −5.2 0.0004 0.0002 0.07 −0.0011* 0.0005 −0.24 −0.0008 0.0005 −0.17
MILLSTR_Y % Trial 73.2 72.2 −1.0 −1.4 0.010 0.013 0.01 −0.048 0.026 −0.07 −0.033 0.027 −0.05
MINERAL_V Trial 658.6 632.8 −25.9 −3.9 0.358 0.340 0.05 −1.111 0.626 −0.17 0.607 0.169 −0.13
MILLING_Y % Trial 77.2 79.1 1.8** 2.4 0.010 0.014 0.01 0.046* 0.022 0.06 0.019** 0.002 0.08
LOAF_V ml Trial 660.8 604.3 −56.5*** −8.5 −0.344 0.361 −0.05 −1.602*** 0.419 −0.24 −1.822*** 0.432 −0.28
Trialb 667.7 621.1 −46.6*** −7.0 −0.088 0.315 −0.01 −1.574*** 0.421 −0.24 −1.502*** 0.412 −0.23
On-farmb 642.4 695.8 53.4*** 8.3 1.209** 0.404 0.19 0.025 0.346 0.00 1.810*** 0.215 −0.27

Percent trends (%) are relative to 1983 performance levels

SE standard errors of regression coefficients, GRAIN_Y grain yield, FALLING_N falling number, PROTEIN_C crude protein concentration, SEDIMNT_V sedimentation value, HARDNESS hardness, WATER_A water absorption, MINERAL_C mineral concentration, MILLSTR_Y millstream flour yield, MINERAL_V mineral value number, MILLING_Y milling yield, LOAF_V loaf volume, on-farm loaf volume (calculated)

* Significant at 5% level

** Significant at 1% level

*** Significant at 0.1% level

aOn-farm, all quality groups (national average yield)

bTrials and on-farm, only quality groups E, A and B