Table 8.

The Probability of Conviction Conditional on a Not Guilty Plea

	(1)	(2)	(3)	(4)
Black Male	0.97 [0.93, 1.02]	0.95 [0.90, 1.00]	0.97 [0.92, 1.02]	0.95 [0.90, 1.00]
Hispanic Male	1.25 [1.16, 1.34]	1.21 [1.13, 1.30]	1.17 [1.09, 1.26]	1.10 [1.02, 1.18]
White Female	1.01 [0.96, 1.06]	1.00 [0.94, 1.05]	0.99 [0.93, 1.04]	1.01 [0.84, 1.22]
Felony DWI			4.77 [2.53, 9.01]	4.85 [2.55, 9.20]
Prior DWI				1.26 [1.15, 1.29]
Pro Se		1.08 [1.02, 1.15]	1.06 [0.99, 1.12]	1.15 [1.08, 1.22]
Court-Appointed Attorney		1.70 [1.60, 1.81]	1.77 [1.66, 1.88]	1.73 [1.62, 1.84]
Public Defender		1.10 [1.01, 1.19]	1.14 [1.05, 1.24]	1.22 [1.12, 1.32]
Bail/Bond Category 1			0.58 [0.55, 0.61]	0.55 [0.52, 0.58]
Bail/Bond Category 2			1.02 [0.93, 1.12]	1.00 [0.91, 1.10]
Bail/Bond Category 3			0.73 [0.69, 0.76]	0.72 [0.68, 0.76]
Median HH Income ($100,000s)				0.82 [0.70, 0.97]
Expensive Home Index				0.97 [0.95, 0.98]
Share with under 12 years schooling				1.39 [1.13, 1.70]
Concurrent Violations?	N	N	N	Y
N	51,676	51,676	51,676	51,676

Source: ACIS.

Notes: The dependent variable in all regressions takes the value 1 if the defendant was convicted following a not guilty plea and 0 otherwise. All estimates are odds ratios based on a logit regression. Estimates are reported with 95% confidence intervals in brackets, and estimates significant at the 5 percent level are highlighted in bold. For variables that are included in the regressions but not shown, see the note to Table 3.