Table 1.
Alternate assumption | R0 (95% CI) | d (95% CI) |
---|---|---|
Base case | 1.87 (1.52 - 2.34) | 0.06 (0.02 - 0.12) |
10-day generation time | 3.34 (2.28 - 4.47) | 0.19 (0.09 - 0.40) |
13-day generation time | 4.92 (3.07 – 6.01) | 0.30 (0.13 – 0.66) |
Outbreak 25% under-reported | 2.21 (1.78 – 2.81) | 0.16 (0.11 - 0.27) |
Outbreak 50% under-reported | 2.8 (2.21 – 3.65) | 0.12 (0.06 – 0.19) |
CI confidence interval