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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2017 Jan 6.
Published in final edited form as: Ann Appl Stat. 2015 Nov 2;9(3):1226–1246. doi: 10.1214/15-AOAS841

Table 2.

Posterior parameter estimates and 95% credible intervals for location effects. Mean effects include age cohort (with baseline group aged 40–50), urbanicity by age cohort interaction (indicated by U *), household income (HHI), current pregnancy status, and smoking.

Female Effects
Predictor SBP 1991 SBP 2009 DBP 1991 DBP 2009
18 < Age < 30 −5.5 (−6.9, −3.9) −4.2 (−5.9, −2.7) −2.8 (−3.7, −2.0) −3.2 (−4.3, −2.2)
30 < Age < 40 −4.5 (−5.9, −3.3) −1.5 (−2.8, −0.0) −2.6 (−3.5, −1.8) −0.2 (−1.1,0.7)
50 < Age < 60 2.7 (1.0,4.3) 3.2 (1.8,4.6) 1.3 (0.1,2.3) 1.4 (0.5,2.3)
60 < Age 7.7 (6.0,9.6) 5.5 (4.1,6.9) 3.1 (2.0,4.4) 1.9 (0.9,2.7)
U * (18 < Age < 30) −0.9 (−5.7,3.6) 1.1 (−4.1,7.1) 1.2 (−2.0,4.2) 3.6 (0.3,7.4)
U * (30 < Age < 40) −4.5 (−10.1,1.5) 0.8 (−4.1,6.2) −0.8 (−4.4,3.1) −0.0 (−3.0,3.1)
U * (50 < Age < 60) 4.2 (−2.8,10.9) 0.4 (−4.9,5.5) 2.2 (−2.5,7.0) 2.0 (−1.2,5.1)
U * (60 < Age) 2.7 (−3.2,8.2) 6.6 (1.6,11.4) 1.9 (−2.1,5.6) 1.3 (−1.7,4.7)
HHI 4.0 (−0.7,8.2) −2.0 (−3.6, −0.1) 2.2 (−0.6,4.8) −0.8 (−1.9,0.4)
Pregnant −1.1 (−4.5,2.9) 2.0 (−1.8,4.8) −1.0 (−2.8,1.6) −0.3 (−3.2,1.9)

Male Effects

Predictor SBP 1991 SBP 2009 DBP 1991 DBP 2009

18 < Age < 30 −1.9 (−3.6, −0.5) −4.0 (−5.7, −2.5) −1.6 (−2.5, −0.5) −3.3 (−4.2, −2.4)
30 < Age < 40 −1.3 (−3.0,0.0) −2.1 (−3.3, −0.7) −1.0 (−2.0,0.1) −1.2 (−2.1, −0.4)
50 < Age < 60 4.7 (3.4,6.5) 0.8 (−0.4,2.1) 2.1 (1.1,3.3) 0.1 (−0.7,0.9)
60 < Age 8.3 (6.2,10.1) 3.2 (1.9,4.5) 3.6 (2.4,4.8) 0.3 (−0.5,1.2)
U * (18 < Age < 30) −0.2 (−5.8,4.7) −0.5 (−5.8,4.9) −1.6 (−5.2,1.8) 3.1 (−0.4,6.6)
U * (30 < Age < 40) −5.2 (−10.1, −0.6) −1.2 (−6.1,3.5) −4.0 (−7.6, −0.5) 1.5 (−1.7,4.4)
U * (50 < Age < 60) 5.7 (−0.1,11.5) 0.6 (−4.5,6.4) 0.9 (−2.9,5.3) 0.9 (−2.6,4.4)
U * (60 < Age) 7.0 (1.6,13.6) 2.4 (−2.5,7.4) 1.0 (−2.9,5.1) −0.0 (−3.2,3.1)
HHI 2.6 (−0.5,5.3) −1.8 (−3.4, −0.2) 0.9 (−1.0,3.0) −0.7 (−1.8,0.3)
Smoke −0.1 (−0.9,0.9) 0.5 (−0.2,1.4) −0.1 (−0.7,0.5) 0.0 (−0.5,0.5)