TABLE 3.
Parameters governing changes in mortality and transmission with duration of infection used in the baseline modela
| Duration (yrs) | Dd | β |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.003 | 0.082 |
| 2 | 0.011 | 0.068 |
| 3 | 0.017 | 0.074 |
| 4 | 0.028 | 0.080 |
| 5 | 0.043 | 0.087 |
| 6 | 0.058 | 0.094 |
| 7 | 0.068 | 0.102 |
| 8 | 0.085 | 0.110 |
| 9 | 0.099 | 0.120 |
| 10 | 0.106 | 0.130 |
| 11 | 0.141 | 0.141 |
| 12 | 0.147 | 0.152 |
| 13 | 0.170 | 0.165 |
| 14 | 0.194 | 0.179 |
| 15 | 0.216 | 0.194 |
Dd, HIV-associated mortality at different stages of infection (year−1) (7). β, transmission rate at different stages of infection (year−1) (36, 43, 48). The death rate of an infected individual of age a and the duration of infection d are related to both a duration-of-infection specific death rate (Dd) and an age-specific factor (Da). Therefore, HIV-associated mortality (D) is the product of Da and Dd.