Table 1.

Patterns and probabilities of practice and patient flow used in the model

Patterns of Practice and Patient Flow
Probability of seeing GP first after onset of symptoms	0.8	[15]
Number of GP visits in case of no diagnosis or no referral	3	[15]
Probabilities of Patient Flow
Probability of seeing GP first after onset of symptoms	0.8	[15]
Probability of seeing specialist first after onset of symptomsa	0.13	[15]

^a7% consulted an orthopedic surgeon or an internist first (= 0.07)