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. 2016 Nov 8;116(1):109–116. doi: 10.1038/bjc.2016.351

Table 1. Projected excess lifetime risk (ELR) and uncertainty intervals of all cancers incidence per 1000 CT scans, according to the time period of scan, the scanned body part, and patient's gender and age.

      ELR (90% uncertainty interval) by time period
Relative difference between time periods, (%)a
Scanned body part Age (in years) Gender 1990–1994 (1) 1995–1999 (2) 2000–2008 (3) (2) vs (1) (3) vs (2) (3) vs (1)
Head 0 Male 2.4 (1.2–4.8) 1.6 (0.6–4.1) 0.9 (0.4–2.3) −33 −44 −63
    Female 2.1 (1.0–4.0) 1.5 (0.7–3.2) 0.8 (0.4–2.0) −29 −47 −62
  5 Male 1.4 (0.7–2.7) 1.0 (0.4–2.7) 0.7 (0.3–1.7) −29 −30 −50
    Female 1.2 (0.6–2.0) 0.9 (0.4–1.8) 0.6 (0.3–1.3) −25 −33 −50
  15 Male 0.9 (0.4–1.8) 0.4 (0.2–1.3) 0.4 (0.2–1.2) −56 00 −56
    Female 0.6 (0.3–1.0) 0.3 (0.1–0.8) 0.3 (0.1–0.6) −50 00 −50
Chest 0 Male 3.7 (1.8–8.7) 1.9 (0.8–5.0) 1.4 (0.5–6.0) −49 −26 −62
    Female 13.3 (6.5–24.8) 6.3 (2.7–16.3) 4.5 (1.5–16.5) −53 −29 −66
  5 Male 3.0 (1.4–7.1) 1.5 (0.7–4.1) 1.1 (0.4–4.9) −50 −27 −63
    Female 10.5 (5.0–18.3) 4.9 (2.1–12.6) 3.3 (1.1–12.8) −53 −33 −69
  15 Male 2.2 (1.2–4.3) 1.3 (0.6–3.2) 0.9 (0.4–2.1) −41 −31 −59
    Female 7.3 (4.2–11.4) 4.4 (1.9–8.8) 2.6 (1.3–6.4) −40 −41 −64
Abdomen and pelvis 0 Male 6.2 (3.0–12.4) 3.1 (1.4–7.7) 2.1 (0.8–7.1) −50 −32 −66
    Female 10.6 (5.5–20.0) 5.4 (2.7–11.7) 3.8 (1.5–10.9) −49 −30 −64
  5 Male 5.2 (2.5–10.1) 2.6 (1.2–6.3) 1.8 (0.7–5.8) −50 −31 −65
    Female 8.5 (4.4–16.1) 4.3 (2.2–9.4) 3.1 (1.2–8.6) −49 −28 −64
  15 Male 3.8 (2.1–7.4) 2.4 (1.2–5.3) 1.5 (0.7–3.6) −37 −38 −61
    Female 5.3 (3.2–9.9) 3.5 (1.6–7.0) 2.2 (1.1–4.5) −34 −37 −58

Abbreviation: CT=computed tomography. ELR: median simulated value of ELR per 1000 scans.

a

Relative differences of median ELR values between the two time periods indicated in parentheses.