Table 1. Projected excess lifetime risk (ELR) and uncertainty intervals of all cancers incidence per 1000 CT scans, according to the time period of scan, the scanned body part, and patient's gender and age.
|
ELR (90% uncertainty interval) by time period |
Relative difference between time periods, (%)a |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scanned body part | Age (in years) | Gender | 1990–1994 (1) | 1995–1999 (2) | 2000–2008 (3) | (2) vs (1) | (3) vs (2) | (3) vs (1) |
| Head | 0 | Male | 2.4 (1.2–4.8) | 1.6 (0.6–4.1) | 0.9 (0.4–2.3) | −33 | −44 | −63 |
| Female | 2.1 (1.0–4.0) | 1.5 (0.7–3.2) | 0.8 (0.4–2.0) | −29 | −47 | −62 | ||
| 5 | Male | 1.4 (0.7–2.7) | 1.0 (0.4–2.7) | 0.7 (0.3–1.7) | −29 | −30 | −50 | |
| Female | 1.2 (0.6–2.0) | 0.9 (0.4–1.8) | 0.6 (0.3–1.3) | −25 | −33 | −50 | ||
| 15 | Male | 0.9 (0.4–1.8) | 0.4 (0.2–1.3) | 0.4 (0.2–1.2) | −56 | 00 | −56 | |
| Female | 0.6 (0.3–1.0) | 0.3 (0.1–0.8) | 0.3 (0.1–0.6) | −50 | 00 | −50 | ||
| Chest | 0 | Male | 3.7 (1.8–8.7) | 1.9 (0.8–5.0) | 1.4 (0.5–6.0) | −49 | −26 | −62 |
| Female | 13.3 (6.5–24.8) | 6.3 (2.7–16.3) | 4.5 (1.5–16.5) | −53 | −29 | −66 | ||
| 5 | Male | 3.0 (1.4–7.1) | 1.5 (0.7–4.1) | 1.1 (0.4–4.9) | −50 | −27 | −63 | |
| Female | 10.5 (5.0–18.3) | 4.9 (2.1–12.6) | 3.3 (1.1–12.8) | −53 | −33 | −69 | ||
| 15 | Male | 2.2 (1.2–4.3) | 1.3 (0.6–3.2) | 0.9 (0.4–2.1) | −41 | −31 | −59 | |
| Female | 7.3 (4.2–11.4) | 4.4 (1.9–8.8) | 2.6 (1.3–6.4) | −40 | −41 | −64 | ||
| Abdomen and pelvis | 0 | Male | 6.2 (3.0–12.4) | 3.1 (1.4–7.7) | 2.1 (0.8–7.1) | −50 | −32 | −66 |
| Female | 10.6 (5.5–20.0) | 5.4 (2.7–11.7) | 3.8 (1.5–10.9) | −49 | −30 | −64 | ||
| 5 | Male | 5.2 (2.5–10.1) | 2.6 (1.2–6.3) | 1.8 (0.7–5.8) | −50 | −31 | −65 | |
| Female | 8.5 (4.4–16.1) | 4.3 (2.2–9.4) | 3.1 (1.2–8.6) | −49 | −28 | −64 | ||
| 15 | Male | 3.8 (2.1–7.4) | 2.4 (1.2–5.3) | 1.5 (0.7–3.6) | −37 | −38 | −61 | |
| Female | 5.3 (3.2–9.9) | 3.5 (1.6–7.0) | 2.2 (1.1–4.5) | −34 | −37 | −58 | ||
Abbreviation: CT=computed tomography. ELR: median simulated value of ELR per 1000 scans.
Relative differences of median ELR values between the two time periods indicated in parentheses.