Table 3. The conditional probability distribution table of the BBN for estimating measles outbreak risk.
Variable name and value | The probability of an outbreak |
Variable name and value | The probability of an outbreak | Variable name and value | The probability ofan outbreak |
|||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Whether there is a school or a factory | No | Yes | Daily maximum wind speed | No | Yes | Daily sunshine time | No | Yes |
No | 0.9362 | 0.0639 | Low | 0.8811 | 0.1189 | Low | 0.8057 | 0.1946 |
Yes | 0.0536 | 0.9469 | Intermediate | 0.4724 | 0.5276 | Lower Intermediate | 0.8986 | 0.1019 |
High | 0.5732 | 0.4268 | Upper Intermediate | 0.8722 | 0.1279 | |||
High | 0.9255 | 0.0745 | ||||||
Barometric diurnal range | No | Yes | Daily minimum temperature | No | Yes | Daily minimum humidity | No | Yes |
Low | 0.9152 | 0.0848 | Low | 0.4724 | 0.5276 | Low | 0.5417 | 0.4583 |
Lower Intermediate | 0.6055 | 0.3945 | Lower Intermediate | 0.0875 | 0.9125 | Lower Intermediate | 0.9095 | 0.0905 |
Upper Intermediate | 0.3092 | 0.6908 | Upper Intermediate | 0.4315 | 0.5685 | Upper Intermediate | 0.9030 | 0.0970 |
High | 0.4724 | 0.5276 | High | 0.9745 | 0.0255 | High | 0.8501 | 0.1499 |