Table 2.

Projection on the levels of HIV infections and HIV-related deaths under different ART coverage and the initiations of therapy ≤350 cells/μl in Chaoyang District of Beijing under the AEM, n

Year	New infections on different ART coverage							Number of PLWHA on different ART coverage							Number of HIV-related deaths on different ART coverage
	29.7%	40.0%	50.0%	60.0%	70.0%	80.0%	90.0%	29.7%	40.0%	50.0%	60.0%	70.0%	80.0%	90.0%	29.7%	40.0%	50.0%	60.0%	70.0%	80.0%	90.0%
2014	495	491	483	472	457	437	413	4499	4656	4794	4942	5082	5182	5202	203	189	153	110	61	12	0*
2015	471	467	460	450	436	417	393	4731	4900	5067	5252	5434	5572	5612	239	223	186	140	84	26	0*
2016	479	475	469	461	447	428	401	4936	5119	5317	5542	5771	5957	6024	274	257	219	171	111	43	0*
2017	471	468	463	456	444	424	396	5101	5300	5529	5796	6077	6320	6424	305	287	250	201	137	61	0*
2018	476	473	470	464	453	434	406	5244	5459	5720	6029	6366	6674	6825	333	314	279	231	164	81	4
2019	474	472	470	466	458	440	411	5362	5592	5885	6237	6633	7012	7222	356	338	305	258	191	101	13
2020	471	470	470	468	461	446	416	5457	5704	6026	6422	6877	7335	7615	376	359	328	284	217	123	23
2021	467	466	468	468	463	449	421	5531	5793	6145	6582	7099	7640	8001	393	377	349	307	242	145	34
2022	467	467	470	472	469	458	430	5592	5868	6248	6727	7304	7931	8385	406	392	367	327	264	166	46
2023	474	476	480	484	484	475	448	5648	5938	6345	6864	7502	8219	8775	418	405	383	346	286	187	58
2024	479	481	487	493	496	490	464	5699	6003	6437	6994	7692	8502	9169	428	416	396	363	305	208	71
2025	484	487	494	502	507	504	480	5747	6064	6523	7119	7876	8779	9565	436	426	408	378	323	227	84

*The number of deaths was expected to exceed the actual number of deaths under the 90% of ART coverage. There had been negative, with a 0 instead. PLWHA: People living with HIV/AIDS; HIV: Human immunodeficiency virus; ART: Antiretroviral therapy; AEM: Asian Epidemic Model; AIDS: Acquired immune deficiency syndrome.