Table 3.

Projection on the levels of HIV infections and HIV-related deaths under different ART coverage and the initiations of therapy ≤500 cells/μl, in Chaoyang District of Beijing under the AEM, n

Year	New infections on different ART coverage							Number of PLWHA on different ART coverage							Number of HIV-related deaths on different ART coverage
	29.7%	40.0%	50.0%	60.0%	70.0%	80.0%	90.0%	29.7%	40.0%	50.0%	60.0%	70.0%	80.0%	90.0%	29.7%	40.0%	50.0%	60.0%	70.0%	80.0%	90.0%
2014	458	425	395	362	326	290	255	4390	4321	4302	4247	4153	4018	3824	172	141	101	60	22	0*	0*
2015	437	406	379	348	314	279	245	4622	4558	4556	4516	4432	4298	4093	205	170	125	79	35	0*	0*
2016	446	415	389	358	323	286	250	4830	4775	4794	4774	4706	4578	4365	237	198	150	100	49	6	0*
2017	439	408	383	353	318	280	241	5004	4960	5003	5007	4959	4844	4627	265	223	174	120	64	14	0*
2018	445	415	391	362	327	288	248	5160	5129	5198	5229	5206	5109	4891	289	246	197	140	80	23	0*
2019	444	416	393	365	331	292	250	5293	5277	5374	5434	5441	5367	5153	311	267	218	160	96	33	0*
2020	443	416	396	369	336	297	254	5406	5408	5532	5625	5664	5620	5415	330	286	237	178	113	44	0*
2021	440	414	396	371	340	301	257	5500	5520	5674	5800	5876	5865	5675	346	302	254	196	128	56	0*
2022	442	416	399	376	346	306	260	5582	5620	5803	5964	6078	6105	5934	360	316	270	212	143	67	2
2023	450	426	410	389	360	321	273	5661	5718	5930	6126	6281	6348	6199	372	328	283	227	157	78	7
2024	457	433	419	399	371	333	283	5735	5812	6053	6285	6482	6592	6470	382	339	295	240	170	89	13
2025	463	440	427	409	383	345	294	5807	5903	6175	6442	6683	6838	6745	391	348	306	252	182	100	19

*The number of deaths was expected to exceed the actual number of deaths under 80%, 90% of the ART coverage. There had been negative, with a 0 instead. PLWHA: People living with HIV/AIDS; HIV: Human immunodeficiency virus; ART: Antiretroviral therapy; AEM: Asian Epidemic Model; AIDS: Acquired immune deficiency syndrome.