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. 2017 Jan;19(1):147–161. doi: 10.1016/j.jmoldx.2016.09.007

Table 2.

Evaluate the Performance of the Multigene Signature by Four Algorithms Averaged Across 10-Fold CVs in the METABRIC Cohort

Measures EMP NB Logistic optAUC
Specificity 0.99 0.97 0.99 0.96
Sensitivity 0.71 0.94 0.79 0.96
NPV 0.97 0.99 0.98 1.00
PPV 0.91 0.74 0.88 0.71
Accuracy 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.96
Youden 0.70 0.91 0.78 0.92
Youden* 0.71 0.94 0.79 0.96
FP/TP 0.11 0.40 0.16 0.44
FN/TN 0.03 0.01 0.02 0.00

As evaluated against FGFR1 amplification by diagnostic measures, all algorithms perform well; optAUC led to the lowest FN/TN and the highest sensitivity and NPV.

CV, cross-validation; EMP, empirical method; FN, false negative; FP, false positive; Logistic, logistic regression; METABRIC, Molecular Taxonomy of Breast Cancer International Consortium; NB, naïve Bayes method; NPV, negative predictive value; optAUC, optimal area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; PPV, positive predictive value; TN, true negative, TP, true positive; Youden, does not consider population prevalence and uses equal weight on sensitivity and specificity; Youden*, considers population prevalence and allows different penalty/cost on FP and FN.