Skip to main content
. 2016 Sep 4;109(6):2317–2328. doi: 10.1093/jee/tow196

Table 1.

Risk indicators (ARIij) for international passengers arriving from all and Mediterranean fruit fly-infested countries to destination airports in Florida and California during 2010

IATA destination airport codea All countries
Mediterranean fruit fly-infested countries
Adjusted total passenger no.b Arrival risk ratioc
Jan.–April May–Aug. Sept.–Dec. Jan.–April May–Aug. Sept.–Dec.
Florida
MIA: ARIijd 0.41 0.44 0.38 0.93 0.95 0.84 0.45
Passengerse 2,983,863 3,119,406 2,947,184 1,312,486 1,447,002 1,336,231 3,716,075
FLL: ARIij 0.17 0.21 0.19 1.00 0.96 0.88 0.20
Passengers 678,740 684,353 484,219 113,851 146,010 102,611 344,382
MCO: ARIij 0.11 0.11 0.14 1.00 1.00 0.92 0.12
Passengers 707,617 703,899 543,759 79,538 80,975 81,892 235,449
California
LAX: ARIij 0.08 0.12 0.08 0.70 0.95 0.64 0.12
Passengers 2,481,421 2,962,131 2,702,507 270,308 364,436 329,395 746,892
SFO: ARIij 0.02 0.05 0.02 0.47 0.92 0.49 0.05
Passengers 1,220,005 1,635,193 1,420,457 42,643 84,541 69,265 131,752

a International Air Transport Association (IATA) airport codes: MIA (Miami), FLL (Fort Lauderdale), MCO (Orlando), LAX (Los Angeles), and SFO (San Francisco).

b The adjusted total passenger number was derived by summing the products of the estimated number of passengers arriving from Mediterranean fruit fly-infested countries multiplied by the seasonal risk (ARIij) of Mediterranean fruit fly occurrence at a departing flight location.

c An arrival risk ratio was derived for each destination airport by summing the risk-adjusted number of passengers arriving each season from Mediterranean fruit fly-infested locations and dividing the sum by the total of all passengers that arrived on international flights.

d Risk indicators (ARIij) were derived by multiplying the risk of Mediterranean fruit fly occurring at the departing flight location in each season by the estimated number of passengers on the route and dividing the product by the estimated total number of seasonal passengers on the route. Higher ARIij scores indicate greater annual risk of Mediterranean fruit fly arrival relative to the total estimated passenger number.

e The estimated number of passengers arriving at Florida and California on direct flights from all and Mediterranean fruit fly-infested countries was derived from the open-access passenger flow model for 2010, Vbd-air.com (Mao et al. 2015).