Table 3. Actual and Counterfactual IMR at the District Level, Sri Lanka 1982–2002.

		Actual IMR per 1,000 Live Births		Counterfactual Outcome based on Pre-war trend	Average Annual Change
Conflict Class	District	1982	2002	2002	Pre-Conflict Average (1975 to 1982)	Average Change During Conflict
High Conflict Level	Batticaloa	27	15.2	6.2	-0.066	-0.019
	Jaffna	17	6	12.7	-0.027	-0.038
	Kilinochchi	n/a	3.9	n/a	n/a	n/a
	Mannar	27	6.9	13.1	-0.010	-0.030
	Mullaitivu	n/a	8.9	n/a	n/a	n/a
	Trincomalee	18	2.5	4.1	-0.060	-0.043
	Vavuniya	16	11.8	4.8	-0.058	-0.016
Intermittent Conflict	Ampara	20	7	3.5	-0.076	-0.031
	Anuradhapura	26	17.6	11.6	-0.034	-0.012
	Polonnaruwa	14	16.1	1.7	-0.086	0.031
	Puttalam	24	6.3	13.5	-0.032	-0.040
No Conflict	Badulla	34	15.9	10.7	-0.056	-0.025
	Colombo	50	16.2	n/a	n/a
	Galle	34	10.9	13.3	-0.046	-0.032
	Gampaha	22	5.2	n/a	n/a	-0.037
	Hambantota	18	4.7	4.7	-0.065	-0.035
	Kaluthara	20	4	3.6	-0.082	-0.043
	Kandy	39	15.8	12.1	-0.065	-0.035
	Kegalle	29	9.2	7.4	-0.066	-0.035
	Kurunegala	29	10.8	14.4	-0.031	-0.032
	Matale	29	7.6	6.3	-0.058	-0.006
	Matara	33	5.9	18.7	-0.028	-0.042
	Moneragala	13	2	2.6	-0.076	-0.045
	Nuwara Eliya	49	16	16.1	-0.054	-0.036
	Ratnapura	43	13.5	17.6	-0.044	-0.033

Source: Central Bank of Sri Lanka; Dept. of Census and Statistics; Ministry of Healthcare and Nutrition (multiple years)