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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2018 Feb 1.
Published in final edited form as: Med Care. 2017 Feb;55(2):191–198. doi: 10.1097/MLR.0000000000000630

Table 4.

Impact of the Value-based Formulary on medication and non-medication expenditures per member per month

Expenditures (US $) Observed Estimatea Expected Estimateb VBF Impact P Value
Medication Expenditures
    Member (95% CI) 17 (16, 18) 15 (14, 16) 2 (1, 3) 0.004
    Health Plan (95% CI) 64 (56, 72) 74 (63, 84) −10 (−18, −2) 0.02
    Overall (95% CI) 80 (72, 89) 89 (79, 99) −8 (−15, −2) 0.01
Non-Medication Expenditures
    Member (95% CI) 61 (60, 64) 64 (60, 68) −3 (−6, 1) 0.20
    Health Plan (95% CI) 293 (267, 320) 292 (257, 327) 2 (−35, 38) 0.91
    Overall (95% CI) 355 (327, 383) 356 (318, 393) −1 (−39, 38) 0.95
Grand Total Expenditures 436 (406, 465) 445 (406, 483) −9 (−49, 30) 0.63
a

Observed (i.e. factual) estimate: regression-based adjusted estimate of expenditures in the intervention group in the post-VBF period if the VBF had been implemented

b

Expected (i.e. counterfactual) estimate: regression-based adjusted estimate of expenditures in the intervention group in the post-VBF period if the VBF had not been implemented