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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2017 Jan 18.
Published in final edited form as: Ann Intern Med. 2013 Nov 5;159(9):592–600. doi: 10.7326/0003-4819-159-9-201311050-00005

Table 6.

Multivariable Models of Potential Risk Factors for Time to Death After Release for All-Cause, Nonoverdose, Overdose, and Opioid-Related Deaths

Variable Adjusted HR (95% CI)
All-Cause Causes Other Than Overdose Overdose Opioid-Related
Age*

 Months 0–1 after release 1.67 (1.46–1.91) 1.79 (1.46–2.20) 1.58 (1.33–1.88) 1.71 (1.36–2.15)

 Months 2–12 after release 1.71 (1.59–1.84) 1.77 (1.63–1.93) 1.53 (1.35–1.74) 1.53 (1.28–1.83)

 Months 13 or more after release 1.94 (1.86–2.03) 2.03 (1.93–2.13) 1.56 (1.42–1.72) 1.57 (1.41–1.75)

Sex
 Male 1.00 (reference) 1.00 (reference) 1.00 (reference) 1.00 (reference)

 Female 0.85 (0.75–0.95) 0.70 (0.60–0.80) 1.38 (1.12–1.69) 1.39 (1.09–1.79)

Race/ethnicity
 White, non-Hispanic 1.00 (reference) 1.00 (reference) 1.00 (reference) 1.00 (reference)

 African American, non-Hispanic 0.82 (0.74–0.91) 0.93 (0.82–1.04) 0.53 (0.41–0.68) 0.32 (0.22–0.47)

 Hispanic 0.65 (0.56–0.76) 0.74 (0.62–0.88) 0.38 (0.25–0.57) 0.30 (0.17–0.51)

 Asian, non-Hispanic 0.61 (0.42–0.88) 0.80 (0.55–1.17) 0.08 (0.01–0.56) 0.00 (0.00–0.00)

 Other 1.02 (0.84–1.25) 1.16 (0.93–1.46) 0.64 (0.40–1.03) 0.85 (0.51–1.40)
Type of incarceration

 Standard incarceration 1.00 (reference) 1.00 (reference) 1.00 (reference) 1.00 (reference)

 Incarceration due to violation of terms of community supervision 1.28 (1.15–1.42) 1.27 (1.13–1.43) 1.24 (0.96–1.60) 1.16 (0.85–1.58)

Length of incarceration 0.98 (0.96–0.99) 0.99 (0.97–1.00) 0.91 (0.84–1.00) 0.93 (0.84–1.03)

Release type
 With community supervision 1.00 (reference) 1.00 (reference) 1.00 (reference) 1.00 (reference)

 Without community supervision 1.13 (1.02–1.26) 1.11 (0.98–1.25) 1.21 (0.96–1.52) 1.10 (0.83–1.47)

 Other 0.77 (0.56–1.08) 0.73 (0.50–1.07) 0.92 (0.49–1.75) 1.14 (0.56–2.30)
Calendar year of release

 1999 1.00 (reference) 1.00 (reference) 1.00 (reference) 1.00 (reference)

 2000 1.08 (0.88–1.34) 1.11 (0.88–1.41) 0.96 (0.59–1.57) 1.08 (0.58–2.03)

 2001 1.07 (0.86–1.32) 1.11 (0.87–1.40) 0.92 (0.57–1.51) 1.04 (0.55–1.97)

 2002 0.95 (0.76–1.18) 0.94 (0.73–1.20) 0.98 (0.61–1.57) 1.08 (0.58–2.01)

 2003 0.95 (0.77–1.18) 0.98 (0.77–1.25) 0.85 (0.53–1.37) 1.10 (0.59–2.04)

 2004 0.92 (0.74–1.14) 0.93 (0.73–1.19) 0.87 (0.54–1.39) 1.22 (0.67–2.23)

 2005 0.90 (0.72–1.12) 0.92 (0.71–1.18) 0.82 (0.51–1.33) 1.04 (0.56–1.94)

 2006 0.85 (0.67–1.06) 0.91 (0.70–1.17) 0.66 (0.41–1.08) 0.98 (0.53–1.81)

 2007 0.69 (0.54–0.88) 0.69 (0.52–0.91) 0.67 (0.40–1.11) 0.84 (0.43–1.62)

 2008 0.88 (0.68–1.12) 0.85 (0.63–1.13) 0.91 (0.55–1.51) 1.19 (0.62–2.28)

 2009 0.80 (0.59–1.08) 0.81 (0.57–1.16) 0.74 (0.41–1.32) 1.20 (0.58–2.48)

HR = hazard ratio.

*

Each decade increase in age was associated with an increased risk for all-cause death during the first month after release and a greater increase in subsequent months.

Increasing length of incarceration was associated with a small but statistically significant reduction in the risk for all-cause and overdose deaths.