Table 6.
Multivariable Models of Potential Risk Factors for Time to Death After Release for All-Cause, Nonoverdose, Overdose, and Opioid-Related Deaths
Variable | Adjusted HR (95% CI)
|
|||
---|---|---|---|---|
All-Cause | Causes Other Than Overdose | Overdose | Opioid-Related | |
Age* | ||||
| ||||
Months 0–1 after release | 1.67 (1.46–1.91) | 1.79 (1.46–2.20) | 1.58 (1.33–1.88) | 1.71 (1.36–2.15) |
| ||||
Months 2–12 after release | 1.71 (1.59–1.84) | 1.77 (1.63–1.93) | 1.53 (1.35–1.74) | 1.53 (1.28–1.83) |
| ||||
Months 13 or more after release | 1.94 (1.86–2.03) | 2.03 (1.93–2.13) | 1.56 (1.42–1.72) | 1.57 (1.41–1.75) |
| ||||
Sex | ||||
Male | 1.00 (reference) | 1.00 (reference) | 1.00 (reference) | 1.00 (reference) |
| ||||
Female | 0.85 (0.75–0.95) | 0.70 (0.60–0.80) | 1.38 (1.12–1.69) | 1.39 (1.09–1.79) |
| ||||
Race/ethnicity | ||||
White, non-Hispanic | 1.00 (reference) | 1.00 (reference) | 1.00 (reference) | 1.00 (reference) |
| ||||
African American, non-Hispanic | 0.82 (0.74–0.91) | 0.93 (0.82–1.04) | 0.53 (0.41–0.68) | 0.32 (0.22–0.47) |
| ||||
Hispanic | 0.65 (0.56–0.76) | 0.74 (0.62–0.88) | 0.38 (0.25–0.57) | 0.30 (0.17–0.51) |
| ||||
Asian, non-Hispanic | 0.61 (0.42–0.88) | 0.80 (0.55–1.17) | 0.08 (0.01–0.56) | 0.00 (0.00–0.00) |
| ||||
Other | 1.02 (0.84–1.25) | 1.16 (0.93–1.46) | 0.64 (0.40–1.03) | 0.85 (0.51–1.40) |
Type of incarceration | ||||
| ||||
Standard incarceration | 1.00 (reference) | 1.00 (reference) | 1.00 (reference) | 1.00 (reference) |
| ||||
Incarceration due to violation of terms of community supervision | 1.28 (1.15–1.42) | 1.27 (1.13–1.43) | 1.24 (0.96–1.60) | 1.16 (0.85–1.58) |
| ||||
Length of incarceration† | 0.98 (0.96–0.99) | 0.99 (0.97–1.00) | 0.91 (0.84–1.00) | 0.93 (0.84–1.03) |
| ||||
Release type | ||||
With community supervision | 1.00 (reference) | 1.00 (reference) | 1.00 (reference) | 1.00 (reference) |
| ||||
Without community supervision | 1.13 (1.02–1.26) | 1.11 (0.98–1.25) | 1.21 (0.96–1.52) | 1.10 (0.83–1.47) |
| ||||
Other | 0.77 (0.56–1.08) | 0.73 (0.50–1.07) | 0.92 (0.49–1.75) | 1.14 (0.56–2.30) |
Calendar year of release | ||||
| ||||
1999 | 1.00 (reference) | 1.00 (reference) | 1.00 (reference) | 1.00 (reference) |
| ||||
2000 | 1.08 (0.88–1.34) | 1.11 (0.88–1.41) | 0.96 (0.59–1.57) | 1.08 (0.58–2.03) |
| ||||
2001 | 1.07 (0.86–1.32) | 1.11 (0.87–1.40) | 0.92 (0.57–1.51) | 1.04 (0.55–1.97) |
| ||||
2002 | 0.95 (0.76–1.18) | 0.94 (0.73–1.20) | 0.98 (0.61–1.57) | 1.08 (0.58–2.01) |
| ||||
2003 | 0.95 (0.77–1.18) | 0.98 (0.77–1.25) | 0.85 (0.53–1.37) | 1.10 (0.59–2.04) |
| ||||
2004 | 0.92 (0.74–1.14) | 0.93 (0.73–1.19) | 0.87 (0.54–1.39) | 1.22 (0.67–2.23) |
| ||||
2005 | 0.90 (0.72–1.12) | 0.92 (0.71–1.18) | 0.82 (0.51–1.33) | 1.04 (0.56–1.94) |
| ||||
2006 | 0.85 (0.67–1.06) | 0.91 (0.70–1.17) | 0.66 (0.41–1.08) | 0.98 (0.53–1.81) |
| ||||
2007 | 0.69 (0.54–0.88) | 0.69 (0.52–0.91) | 0.67 (0.40–1.11) | 0.84 (0.43–1.62) |
| ||||
2008 | 0.88 (0.68–1.12) | 0.85 (0.63–1.13) | 0.91 (0.55–1.51) | 1.19 (0.62–2.28) |
| ||||
2009 | 0.80 (0.59–1.08) | 0.81 (0.57–1.16) | 0.74 (0.41–1.32) | 1.20 (0.58–2.48) |
HR = hazard ratio.
Each decade increase in age was associated with an increased risk for all-cause death during the first month after release and a greater increase in subsequent months.
Increasing length of incarceration was associated with a small but statistically significant reduction in the risk for all-cause and overdose deaths.