Table 4.

Risk prediction for incident diabetes

	C statistic	Change in C statistic**	P value**
Overall
Age, sex, race	0.5749	Reference	Reference
+Risk factors*	0.6983	0.1235	<0.001
+Fasting glucose	0.7438	0.1690	<0.001
+hs-cTnT	0.5838	0.0089	<0.001
Fully adjusted without hs-cTnT	0.7636	0.1888	<0.001
Fully adjusted with hs-cTnT	0.7644	0.1896	0.023†
Low-risk groupa
Age, sex, race	0.5690	Reference	Reference
+Risk factors*	0.6961	0.1271	<0.001
+Fasting glucose	0.7463	0.1774	<0.001
+hs-cTnT	0.5772	0.0083	<0.001
Fully adjusted without hs-cTnT	0.7658	0.1968	<0.001
Fully adjusted with hs-cTnT	0.7664	0.1975	0.040†
Normal fasting glucose
Age, sex, race	0.5615	Reference	Reference
+Risk factors*	0.6871	0.1256	<0.001
+Fasting glucose	0.7435	0.1820	<0.001
+hs-cTnT	0.5766	0.0151	<0.001
Fully adjusted without hs-cTnT	0.7258	0.1642	<0.001
Fully adjusted with hs-cTnT	0.7308	0.1693	<0.001†

*Models adjusted for: age, race-center, sex, total cholesterol, HDL-C, LDL-C, triglycerides, BMI, eGFR, systolic blood pressure, blood pressure–lowering medication use, smoking status, cholesterol-lowering medication use, family history of coronary heart disease, waist circumference, physical activity, education level, and annual family income level.

**Compared with age, sex, and race, except where noted.

†Compared with the fully adjusted model without hs-cTnT.

^aDefined as no hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, or metabolic syndrome.