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. 2017 Feb;91(2):477–492. doi: 10.1016/j.kint.2016.10.009

Table 1.

Associations between clinical and biopsy features, DSA and patient outcomes

Clinical variable Result in whole cohort Number of biopsies/samples
Pa Number of biopsies/samples
Pa
Graft failure No graft failure Deteriorating eGFR
(≤median)
Stable eGFR
(>median)
PCR >50 at time of biopsy Yes (n = 25) 10 15 0.002 17 8 0.03
No (n = 27) 1 26 10 17
Biopsy subgroup BFC (n = 37) 11 26 0.02 19 18 1
PROTCL (n = 15) 0 15 8 7
Gross biopsy features AMR (n = 45) 11 34 0.3 25 20 0.24
Control (n = 7) 0 7 2 5
Tubulitis Positive (n = 4) 2 2 0.2 3 1 0.6
Negative (n = 48) 9 39 24 24
C4d (PTC) Positive (n = 26) 8 18 0.1 16 10 0.27
Negative (n = 26) 3 23 11 15
C4d (g) Positive (n = 30) 9 21 0.09 17 13 0.58
Negative (n = 22) 2 20 10 12
G score ≥1 (n = 21) 6 15 0.3 14 7 0.1
0 (n = 31) 5 26 13 18
PTC score ≥1 (n = 15) 7 8 0.008 8 7 1
0 (n = 37) 4 33 19 18
CG score ≥1 (n = 20) 7 13 0.08 10 10 1
0 (n = 32) 4 28 17 15
CV score ≥1 (n = 22) 6 16 0.5 13 9 0.57
0 (n = 29) 5 24 14 15
% Median IF/TA score 30 15 <0.05b 20 15 >0.05
DSA time point 1 >1000 (n = 18) 7 11 0.03 12 6 0.15
0 or <1000 (n = 34) 4 30 15 19
DSA time point 2 >1000 (n = 18) 7 11 0.04 11 7 0.39
0 or <1000 (n = 32) 4 28 15 17
DSA overallc >1000 (n = 20) 7 13 0.08 12 8 0.4
0 or <1000 (n = 32) 4 28 15 17

Proteinuria: Graft failure – Sensitivity: 10/11 = 91%; PPV: 10/25 = 40%; NPV: 26/27 = 96%; Specificity: 26/41 = 63%.

Proteinuria: Deteriorating function – Sensitivity: 17/27 = 63%; PPV 17/25 = 68%; NPV 17/27 = 63%; Specificity 68%.

PTC score: Graft failure – Sensitivity: 7/11 = 64%; PPV: 7/15 = 67%; NPV: 33/37 = 89%; Specificity: 33/41 = 80%.

DSA >1000 time point 1: Graft failure – Sensitivity: 7/11 = 64%; PPV: 7/18 = 39%; NPV: 30/34 = 88%; Specificity: 30/41 = 77%.

DSA >1000 time point 2: Graft failure – Sensitivity: 7/11 = 64%; PPV: 7/18 = 39%: NPV: 28/32 = 88%; Specificity: 28/39 = 72%.

Bold P values are statistically significant.

AMR, antibody-mediated rejection; BFC, for-cause biopsy; DSA, donor-specific antibody; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; NPV, negative predictive value; PCR, protein-to-creatinine ratio; PPV, positive predictive value; PROTCL, protocol; PTC, peritubular capillary; g, glomerulitis; cg/cv, BANFF chronic glomerulopathy and vascular scores; IF/TA, interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy.

a

Fisher exact test.

b

Mann-Whitney U test.

c

DSA at either time point 1 or 2 or both.