Table 3.
Multinomial logistic regression models for criminal desistance stratified by neighborhood poverty.
| Temporary desistance vs. persistence | Long-term desistance vs. persistence | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Low poverty | Moderate poverty | High poverty | Low poverty | Moderate poverty | High poverty | |||||||
| Variable | Coef. | (S.E.) | Coef. | (S.E.) | Coef. | (S.E.) | Coef. | (S.E.) | Coef. | (S.E.) | Coef. | (S.E.) |
| Focal variable | ||||||||||||
| Nonresident parent | 0.233 | (0.280) | 0.870 | (0.657) | 1.137 | (0.644) | 0.132 | (0.216) | −0.657 | (0.631) | 0.453 | (0.582) |
| Resident parent | 0.916** | (0.517) | 0.189 | (0.415) | 0.980** | (0.356) | 0.412 | (0.396) | 0.218 | (0.368) | 0.754* | (0.298) |
| Demographic characteristics | ||||||||||||
| Age at last interview | 0.118** | (0.044) | 0.138 | (0.082) | 0.163* | (0.068) | 0.136** | (0.041) | 0.060 | (0.069) | 0.161** | (0.055) |
| Female | 1.040*** | (0.149) | 0.832** | (0.295) | 0.632* | (0.245) | 1.223*** | (0.111) | 0.850*** | (0.234) | 0.782** | (0.243) |
| Race/ethnicity | ||||||||||||
| Black | 0.182 | (0.247) | −0.530 | (0.376) | 0.292 | (0.278) | −0.141 | (0.203) | −0.676* | (0.260) | 0.185 | (0.209) |
| Hispanic | 0.178 | (0.215) | 0.059 | (0.390) | 0.278 | (0.394) | −0.008 | (0.189) | −0.216 | (0.335) | 0.011 | (0.354) |
| Other | 0.171 | (0.304) | −0.777 | (0.787) | −0.125 | (0.749) | 0.312 | (0.230) | −0.625 | (0.422) | −0.239 | (0.578) |
| Family socioeconomic status | −0.067* | (0.027) | 0.052 | (0.055) | −0.059 | (0.058) | −0.019 | (0.027) | 0.063 | (0.046) | −0.071 | (0.045) |
| Two biological parent household | 0.074 | (0.148) | 0.312 | (0.310) | 0.034 | (0.171) | 0.178 | (0.118) | 0.136 | (0.237) | 0.034 | (0.191) |
| Emerging adulthood transitions | ||||||||||||
| Education | ||||||||||||
| High school degree | 0.442 | (0.312) | 0.914* | (0.378) | 0.202 | (0.330) | 0.207 | (0.213) | 0.376 | (0.237) | −0.116 | (0.188) |
| Associate’s degree | 1.036* | (0.424) | 1.182 | (0.744) | −0.282 | (0.721) | 0.814* | (0.320) | 0.807 | (0.527) | 0.029 | (0.633) |
| Bachelor’s degree | 0.825 | (0.449) | 3.173*** | (0.722) | 1.209 | (0.923) | 0.549 | (0.310) | 2.622*** | (0.645) | 1.475 | (0.799) |
| Hours worked per week | 0.001 | (0.004) | −0.005 | (0.006) | −0.001 | (0.006) | −0.001 | (0.003) | −0.004 | (0.005) | −0.001 | (0.005) |
| Relationship status | ||||||||||||
| Cohabiting | −0.157 | (0.218) | 0.213 | (0.360) | 0.260 | (0.396) | −0.012 | (0.174) | 0.101 | (0.326) | 0.063 | (0.377) |
| Married | 0.629* | (0.279) | 0.964* | (0.428) | −0.193 | (0.328) | 0.643* | (0.259) | 0.599 | (0.338) | 0.136 | (0.285) |
| Constant | −3.975** | (1.215) | −5.359* | (2.258) | −5.010* | (2.007) | −2.879* | (1.162) | −0.879 | (1.968) | −3.425* | (1.646) |
| Model F | 8.22*** | 3.25*** | 3.73*** | 8.22*** | 3.25*** | 3.73*** | ||||||
| N of respondents | 6,280 | 1,794 | 2,006 | 6,280 | 1,794 | 2,006 | ||||||
*
p < .05,
**
p < .01,
***
p < .001.