Table 4. Comparison of the ROC curve, IDI and NRI of the modified CHA2DS2-VASc vs. original CHA2DS2-VASc in predicting endpoints.
C-index | 95% CI p | p* | IDI | p | NRI | p | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(A) Composite cardiovascular end-point | |||||||
CHA2DS2-VASc | 0.630 | 0.603–0.658 < 0.001 | 0.111 | 0.0065 | <0.001 | −0.016 | 0.012 |
CHA2DS2-VASc+vWF | 0.641 | 0.613–0.668 < 0.001 | |||||
(B) Stroke | |||||||
CHA2DS2-VASc | 0.610 | 0.582–0.637 p < 0.001 | 0.131 | 0.0037 | 0.040 | −0.017 | <0.001 |
CHA2DS2-VASc+vWF | 0.623 | 0.595–0.650 p < 0.001 | |||||
(C) All-cause mortality | |||||||
CHA2DS2-VASc | 0.661 | 0.634–0.688 p < 0.001 | 0.076 | 0.0091 | 0.048 | 0.001 | 0.864 |
CHA2DS2-VASc+vWF | 0.670 | 0.643–0.697 p < 0.001 | |||||
(D) Cardiovascular mortality | |||||||
CHA2DS2-VASc | 0.656 | 0.628–0.683 p < 0.001 | 0.156 | 0.0041 | 0.033 | −0.018 | 0.004 |
CHA2DS2-VASc+vWF | 0.670 | 0.643–0.697 p < 0.001 |
CI = confidence interval; IDI = integrated discriminatory improvement; NRI = net reclassification improvement.
*For c-index comparison.