Table 1.

Epidemiological parameters used in Markov Model for valuing consequences

Parameters	High dose chemotherapy + autologous stem cell transplant		Conventional chemotherapya
	Base valueb	Source	Base value	Source
Overall survival (median in months)
ISS Stage I	67	Kumar et al. [18]	58.8	Ludwig et al. [19]
ISS Stage II	79		42
ISS Stage III	20		26.4
Progression free survival (median in months)
ISS Stage I	32	Kumar et al. [18]	24	Primary analysis of PGI Data
ISS Stage II	75		18
ISS Stage III	16		12

^aConventional chemotherapy refers to Melphalan and Prednisone regimen

^bBase value represent epidemiological parameters based on extensive review of literature, used in the model to form part of our base case analysis