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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2017 Feb 2.
Published in final edited form as: Biometrics. 2011 Oct 31;68(2):550–558. doi: 10.1111/j.1541-0420.2011.01693.x

Figure 1.

Figure 1

Summary of simulation results under scenarios S0 through S3. The plots compare the estimated success probabilities under the NEPPM (star “*”) vs. the PEM (circle “○”). The horizontal axis shows the n = 12 true success probabilities under the assumed scenario. The upper, medium and lower panels show the bias, mean square error and coverage probability of the central 95% credible interval, respectively. Under S0 and S1, from left to right, the first three success probabilities correspond to poor prognosis (xi = −1), the following six to intermediate (xi = 0) and the last three to good prognosis (xi = 1). The pi with equal values were jittered in the plot for display purposes.