Table 2.
Estimated demand and supply of health workers, by regions and income group, 2013 and 2030
| 2013 (165 countries) | 2030 (165 countries) | # Countries in each group | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demand | Supply | Diff (S-D) | Demand | Supply | Diff (S-D) | ||
| WHO Region | |||||||
| Africa | 1,106,183 | 1,874,830 | 768,647 | 2,404,807 | 3,066,666 | 661,859 | 43 |
| Americas | 8,826,933 | 8,385,480 | −441,453 | 15,288,610 | 12,742,856 | −2,545,753 | 28 |
| Eastern Mediterranean | 3,057,524 | 2,690,443 | −367,080 | 6,201,515 | 4,611,408 | −1,590,107 | 15 |
| Europe | 14,178,009 | 12,692,401 | −1,485,607 | 18,158,772 | 16,803,264 | −1,355,508 | 50 |
| South-East Asia | 5,964,318 | 5,772,250 | −192,067 | 12,206,786 | 10,168,591 | −2,038,195 | 8 |
| Western Pacific | 15,133,290 | 10,294,627 | −4,838,663 | 25,894,849 | 17,261,342 | −8,633,507 | 21 |
| WB Region | |||||||
| East Asia and Pacific | 15,481,985 | 11,141,638 | −4,340,347 | 26,546,027 | 18,250,702 | −8,295,325 | 23 |
| Europe and Central Asia | 14,007,183 | 12,594,176 | −1,413,007 | 17,844,850 | 16,640,618 | −1,204,233 | 48 |
| Latin America | 4,526,235 | 4,140,233 | −386,002 | 8,374,987 | 5,784,767 | −2,590,219 | 26 |
| Middle East & North Africa | 2,517,001 | 2,570,885 | 53,884 | 4,913,419 | 3,846,948 | −1,066,471 | 15 |
| North America | 4,300,699 | 4,245,248 | −55,451 | 6,913,623 | 6,958,089 | 44,466 | 2 |
| South Asia | 6,494,350 | 5,357,579 | −1,136,771 | 13,459,980 | 10,293,688 | −3,166,292 | 8 |
| Sub-Saharan Africa | 938,804 | 1,660,273 | 721,470 | 2,102,453 | 2,879,315 | 776,862 | 43 |
| WB Income group | |||||||
| Low | 1,400,074 | 692,757 | −707,317 | 1,400,074 | 1,384,576 | −15,498 | 29 |
| Lower-middle | 21,682,581 | 9,867,919 | −11,814,662 | 21,682,581 | 17,958,943 | −3,723,638 | 44 |
| Upper-middle | 33,291,730 | 13,764,139 | −19,527,591 | 33,291,730 | 21,362,033 | −11,929,697 | 46 |
| High | 23,780,953 | 17,385,217 | −6,395,736 | 23,780,953 | 23,948,576 | 167,622 | 46 |
| World | 48,266,256 | 41,710,032 | −6,556,224 | 80,155,338 | 64,654,127 | −15,501,211 | 165 |
Health worker refers to physicians, nurses/midwives, and all other health workers. Demand for nurses/midwives was calculated assuming a ratio of 2.517 nurses/midwives to one physician. Demand and supply of all other health workers was calculated assuming a ratio of 3.517 doctors and nurse/midwives times a World Bank income group-specific multiplier. Supply of physicians and nurses/midwives was projected based on the country-specific linear growth rates of physicians and nurses per 1000 population