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. 2017 Feb 1;137(Pt A):43–51. doi: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2016.12.015

Table 1.

Probability of possible outcomes in a game theory model where a farmer and his/her neighbour are deciding whether to use prophylaxis for sheep scab.

Probability Dip
Inject
Upland Lowland Upland Lowland
Pr(scab | treatment) 0.092 0.036 0.099 0.041
Pr(no scab | treatment) 0.908 0.964 0.901 0.959
Pr(scab | no treatment) 0.139 0.052 0.139 0.052
Pr(no scab | no treatment) 0.861 0.948 0.861 0.948
Pr(infection | neighbour infected) 0.91 0.2 0.91 0.2
Pr(healthy | neighbour infected) 0.09 0.8 0.09 0.8

These values were estimated using data from the literature (see supplementary material) and were used along with Fig. 1 in order to estimate the values of the probability parameters in the model.