Table 3.
All invasive
(n=1,534) |
ER- (n=385)
|
ER+ (n=804)
|
|||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
person-years | cases | HR | 95% CI | cases | HR | 95% CI | cases | HR | 95% CI | ||||
|
|
|
|||||||||||
Age at menarche (yrs) | |||||||||||||
≤11 | 124,056 | 442 | 1.00 | reference | 122 | 1.00 | reference | 227 | 1.00 | reference | |||
12–13 | 238,248 | 818 | 0.94 | 0.84 | 1.06 | 192 | 0.80 | 0.63 | 1.00 | 444 | 1.00 | 0.85 | 1.18 |
≥14 | 94,487 | 270 | 0.77 | 0.66 | 0.90 | 71 | 0.72 | 0.53 | 0.97 | 131 | 0.73 | 0.59 | 0.91 |
Oral contraceptive use | |||||||||||||
Never | 113,214 | 397 | 1.00 | reference | 72 | 1.00 | reference | 220 | 1.00 | reference | |||
Ever, ≥10 yrs ago | 304,717 | 1008 | 1.07 | 0.95 | 1.22 | 281 | 1.54 | 1.17 | 2.03 | 518 | 0.99 | 0.84 | 1.17 |
Ever, 5–10 yrs ago | 17,513 | 56 | 1.34 | 1.00 | 1.80 | 16 | 1.95 | 1.10 | 3.46 | 25 | 1.08 | 0.70 | 1.66 |
Ever, within 5 yrs | 23,408 | 73 | 1.37 | 1.05 | 1.80 | 16 | 1.51 | 0.85 | 2.69 | 41 | 1.38 | 0.96 | 1.98 |
Family history of breast cancer | |||||||||||||
No | 411,591 | 1292 | 1.00 | reference | 331 | 1.00 | reference | 677 | 1.00 | reference | |||
Yes | 47,269 | 242 | 1.57 | 1.36 | 1.80 | 54 | 1.39 | 1.04 | 1.86 | 127 | 1.55 | 1.28 | 1.88 |
Parity | |||||||||||||
Nulliparous | 85,033 | 275 | 1.02 | 0.84 | 1.24 | 51 | 0.71 | 0.48 | 1.07 | 156 | 1.17 | 0.90 | 1.52 |
1 birth | 105,685 | 377 | 1.00 | reference | 91 | 1.00 | reference | 198 | 1.00 | reference | |||
2 births | 134,026 | 449 | 0.93 | 0.81 | 1.07 | 131 | 1.09 | 0.83 | 1.43 | 228 | 0.90 | 0.74 | 1.09 |
3+ births | 132,098 | 432 | 0.84 | 0.71 | 0.98 | 112 | 0.92 | 0.68 | 1.26 | 221 | 0.80 | 0.64 | 0.99 |
Age at first birth (yrs)a | |||||||||||||
<20 | 125,426 | 397 | 1.00 | reference | 112 | 1.00 | reference | 200 | 1.00 | reference | |||
20–24 | 128,929 | 430 | 1.00 | 0.87 | 1.15 | 120 | 1.01 | 0.77 | 1.31 | 215 | 0.98 | 0.80 | 1.19 |
≥25 | 111,747 | 412 | 1.14 | 0.98 | 1.33 | 99 | 0.97 | 0.72 | 1.32 | 221 | 1.20 | 0.97 | 1.49 |
Years since last birtha | |||||||||||||
≥10 yrs | 350,948 | 1198 | 1.00 | reference | 325 | -- | -- | 617 | 1.00 | reference | |||
<10 yrs | 10,107 | 26 | 1.09 | 0.73 | 1.65 | 2 | -- | -- | -- | 14 | 1.18 | 0.67 | 2.08 |
Lactationa | |||||||||||||
Never | 220,478 | 746 | 1.00 | reference | 202 | 1.00 | reference | 373 | 1.00 | reference | |||
Ever | 145,885 | 497 | 1.04 | 0.93 | 1.18 | 128 | 1.01 | 0.80 | 1.27 | 266 | 1.12 | 0.95 | 1.32 |
BMI at age 18 (kg/m2) | |||||||||||||
<20 | 202,790 | 727 | 1.00 | reference | 191 | 1.00 | reference | 382 | 1.00 | reference | |||
20–24 | 196,533 | 640 | 0.90 | 0.81 | 1.01 | 159 | 0.87 | 0.70 | 1.09 | 331 | 0.88 | 0.76 | 1.03 |
≥25 | 50,353 | 135 | 0.76 | 0.63 | 0.93 | 31 | 0.73 | 0.49 | 1.09 | 75 | 0.80 | 0.61 | 1.04 |
Current BMI (kg/m2) | |||||||||||||
<25 | 96,942 | 337 | 1.00 | reference | 84 | 1.00 | reference | 169 | 1.00 | reference | |||
25–29.9 | 158,660 | 527 | 0.95 | 0.82 | 1.09 | 148 | 1.04 | 0.79 | 1.37 | 279 | 1.00 | 0.82 | 1.21 |
≥30 | 198,604 | 659 | 1.00 | 0.87 | 1.16 | 151 | 0.87 | 0.65 | 1.17 | 352 | 1.08 | 0.88 | 1.32 |
Waist:hip ratio | |||||||||||||
Tertile 1 (<0.76) | 105,204 | 324 | 1.00 | reference | 81 | 1.00 | reference | 167 | 1.00 | reference | |||
Tertile 2 (0.76 – 0.84) | 116,588 | 383 | 1.05 | 0.91 | 1.22 | 106 | 1.17 | 0.87 | 1.57 | 209 | 1.11 | 0.90 | 1.36 |
Tertile 3 (>0.84) | 115,305 | 380 | 1.07 | 0.92 | 1.25 | 98 | 1.11 | 0.82 | 1.51 | 195 | 1.04 | 0.84 | 1.29 |
Alcohol consumption (drinks) | |||||||||||||
<1/wk | 317,121 | 1079 | 1.00 | reference | 274 | 1.00 | reference | 565 | 1.00 | reference | |||
1–6/wk | 118,361 | 376 | 0.94 | 0.83 | 1.06 | 90 | 0.90 | 0.71 | 1.15 | 203 | 0.96 | 0.82 | 1.13 |
≥7/wk | 22,950 | 79 | 1.01 | 0.80 | 1.27 | 21 | 1.07 | 0.68 | 1.68 | 36 | 0.88 | 0.63 | 1.24 |
Vigorous exercise | |||||||||||||
None | 243,272 | 858 | 1.00 | reference | 223 | 1.00 | reference | 450 | 1.00 | reference | |||
<5 hrs/week | 178,581 | 562 | 0.94 | 0.84 | 1.04 | 134 | 0.83 | 0.67 | 1.04 | 297 | 0.95 | 0.82 | 1.10 |
≥5 hrs/week | 33,355 | 103 | 0.94 | 0.76 | 1.16 | 26 | 0.88 | 0.58 | 1.33 | 51 | 0.92 | 0.68 | 1.23 |
Multivariable hazards ratios (HRs) adjusted for age, smoking history (never active or passive, passive only, never active/unknown passive, 1-<10 packyears, 10+ packyears), menopausal status (premenopausal, hysterectomy only, postmenopausal age <40, postmenopausal age 40–44, postmenopausal age 45, postmenopausal age unknown or missing), postmenopausal hormone use (never, E+P <5 years duration, E+P 5+ years duration, other type), and all factors in Table 3.
Among parous women only. Estimates for age at first birth adjusted for age, smoking history, menopausal status, and all factors in Table 3 except years since last birth; estimates for years since last birth adjusted for age, smoking history, menopausal status, and all factors in Table 3 except age at first birth; estimates for lactation adjusted for age, smoking history, menopausal status, and all factors in Table 3.