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. 2016 Oct 31;6(1):42–53. doi: 10.1039/c6tx00303f

Table 1. Performance of nine models for four different vehicle pairs where the modelled dataset, N, was 50 compounds or more and the balanced accuracy was at or above the 99th percentile of the distribution of balanced accuracies for 300 y-randomised models of the same data. Interpolation/extrapolation is how the area under the dose-toxicity curve has been treated: interpolation only means no extrapolation has taken place; high and high-low indicates that the data has been extrapolated at the high-dose or both the high- and low-dose ranges. AUC is the difference in areas under the dose-survival curve needed before it is considered significant. Equivocal is the number of compounds, not included in the modelling, which showed lower toxicity in one vehicle in some experiments but no difference in others. Contradictory is the number of compounds which showed lower toxicity for one vehicle in some experiments and for the other vehicle in other experiments. Percentile is the percentile of the balanced accuracy of the real model in the distribution of balanced accuracies for the y-randomised models. HPC is hydroxypropylcellulose (Klucel).

Vehicle pair Interpolation/extrapolation AUC/% N (less toxic in first vehicle: second vehicle) Equivocal Contradictory Modelling method Balanced accuracy Percentile
Saline vs. CMC Extrapolate high-low 40 123 (69 : 54) 100 14 PLS 76% 99.7
Saline vs. CMC Extrapolate high-low 40 123 (69 : 54) 100 14 DT 69% 100
Saline vs. CMC Interpolation only 60 66 (43 : 23) 55 2 PLS 83% 99.0
Saline vs. CMC Extrapolate high-low 60 79 (49 : 30) 76 4 PLS 85% 99.7
Saline vs. HPC Extrapolate high-low 30 116 (69 : 47) 42 3 PLS 80% 99.3
Saline vs. HPC Extrapolate high 30 131 (72 : 59) 44 3 DT 69% 99.7
Saline vs. saline with Tween-80 Extrapolate high-low 30 165 (92 : 73) 81 9 PLS 75% 99.0
HPC vs. saline with Tween-80 Extrapolate high-low 30 107 (56 : 51) 45 7 PLS 86% 99.7
HPC vs. saline with Tween-80 Extrapolate high 30 116 (59 : 57) 45 8 PLS 86% 100