Table 3.

Odds of Future Disease Using Insulin and Adiponectin, with and without MetS z-score.

	Incident Disease by PHU Visit:
	Incident Diabetes (n = 22)		Incident CVD (n = 19)
	Odds Ratio (95% CI)	p-value	Odds Ratio (95% CI)	p-value
Model 1
Ln(Insulin) at PFS	8.40 (3.76, 18.73)	< 0.001	3.44 (1.66, 7.12)	< 0.001
ROC AUC	0.85		0.75
Model 2
Ln(Adinoponectin) at PFS	0.25 (0.11, 0.53)	< 0.001	0.68 (0.32, 1.44)	0.318
ROC AUC	0.72		0.57
Model 3
Mets Z-score at PFS	5.60 (2.98, 10.56)	< 0.001	3.51 (2.08, 5.93)	< 0.001
ROC AUC	0.87		0.82
Model 4
Ln(Insulin) at PFS	3.42 (1.31, 8.92)	0.012	1.14 (0.43, 3.03)	0.786
Mets Z-score at PFS	3.45 (1.63, 7.30)	0.001	3.35 (1.79, 6.26)	< 0.001
ROC AUC	0.89		0.82
Model 5
Ln(Adinoponectin) at PFS	0.47 (0.18, 1.24)	0.128	2.37 (0.86, 6.57)	0.097
Mets Z-score at PFS	5.00 (2.56, 9.77)	< 0.001	4.39 (2.41, 8.00)	< 0.001
ROC AUC	0.87		0.82
Model 6
Ln(Insulin) at PFS	3.04 (1.14, 8.13)	0.027	1.39 (0.49, 3.93)	0.539
Ln(Adinoponectin) at PFS	0.63 (0.23, 1.71)	0.362	2.52 (0.90, 7.06)	0.080
MetS Z-score at PFS	3.35 (1.56, 7.18)	0.002	3.97 (2.02, 7.79)	< 0.001
ROC AUC	0.89		0.82