Table 2. Linear regression models for estimating PMFI/FR-total scarred trees/plots, based on the 96-case calibration dataset.
Estimator | ß † | Outliers‡ | n | R2adj | RMSE§ |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mean CFI—all fires | 2.440 | 25, 89 | 82 | 0.721 | 18.14 |
Median CFI—all fires | 2.450 | 25, 89 | 74 | 0.675 | 18.52 |
Weibull Scale CFI—all fires | 2.655 | 25, 93 | 56 | 0.755 | 19.05 |
Weibull Mean CFI—all fires | 2.915 | 25, 93 | 56 | 0.762 | 18.63 |
Weibull Median CFI—all fires | 3.294 | 25, 93 | 56 | 0.730 | 20.12 |
Mean CFI—10% scarred | 2.467 | 25, 89 | 59 | 0.837 | 15.65 |
Median CFI—10% scarred | 2.783 | 25, 89 | 60 | 0.812 | 16.34 |
Weibull Scale CFI—10% scarred | 2.423 | 25, 93 | 55 | 0.856 | 16.09 |
Weibull Mean CFI—10% scarred | 2.666 | 25, 93 | 55 | 0.865 | 15.39 |
Weibull Median CFI—10% scarred | 2.992 | 25, 93 | 55 | 0.826 | 17.66 |
Mean CFI—25% scarred | 1.715 | 2, 89 | 69 | 0.923 | 11.00 |
Median CFI—25% scarred | 1.834 | 26, 89 | 63 | 0.870 | 13.67 |
Weibull Scale CFI—25% scarred | 1.597 | 2 | 55 | 0.925 | 11.96 |
Weibull Mean CFI—25% scarred | 1.749 | 2 | 55 | 0.929 | 11.36 |
Weibull Median CFI—25% scarred | 1.867 | 2 | 55 | 0.906 | 13.00 |
Mean ITFI | 1.121 | 2, 70 | 65 | 0.944 | 10.30 |
Median ITFI | 1.366 | 24, 26 | 64 | 0.896 | 12.57 |
Weibull Scale ITFI | 1.108 | 2 | 55 | 0.970 | 8.04 |
Weibull Mean ITFI | 1.216 | 2 | 55 | 0.972 | 7.52 |
Weibull Median ITFI | 1.361 | 2 | 55 | 0.958 | 9.46 |
PMFI/FR-recorders | 1.337 | None | 52 | 0.961 | 10.39 |
† All models have the form: PMFI/FR-total scarred trees/plots = ß * predictor
‡ Numbers represent row numbers in the 96-case calibration dataset (S1 Table)
§ RMSE = root mean square error, the prediction error, in years, from the 10-fold cross validation