Table 5. Vaccine allocation strategies for different response time scenarios.
| SEIR+MADS | FluTe+MADS | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Response time (days) | Vaccination fraction for each age group (pi) | Vaccination fraction for each age group (pi) | |||||||||
| 0–4 | 5–18 | 19–29 | 30–64 | 65+ | 0–4 | 5–18 | 19–29 | 30–64 | 65+ | ||
| TC | P | – | 86% | – | – | – | 19% | 100% | – | – | 4% |
| 0 | – | 87% | – | – | – | – | 99% | 34% | – | – | |
| 10 | – | 89% | – | – | – | 77% | 100% | 15% | – | 5% | |
| 20 | – | 91% | – | – | – | 46% | 100% | 31% | – | 4% | |
| 40 | – | 96% | – | – | – | – | 96% | 49% | 5% | – | |
| 60 | – | 100% | – | – | – | 23% | 83% | 71% | – | 8% | |
| 80 | 1% | 100% | – | – | – | 48% | 6% | – | 54% | – | |
| 90 | 72% | 100% | – | – | – | 4% | 5% | – | 55% | – | |
| TI | P | 100% | 100% | 1% | – | 9% | 16% | 100% | 43% | – | – |
| 0 | 100% | 100% | 9% | – | – | 89% | 100% | 9% | 1% | 1% | |
| 10 | 100% | 100% | 9% | – | – | 67% | 99% | 16% | 2% | 2% | |
| 20 | 100% | 100% | 7% | 1% | – | – | 100% | 39% | 5% | – | |
| 40 | 100% | 100% | 9% | – | – | 19% | 100% | – | 14% | – | |
| 60 | 100% | 100% | 9% | – | – | 30% | 93% | 52% | – | 5% | |
| 80 | 100% | 100% | 1% | 2% | – | 56% | 65% | 88% | – | 4% | |
| 90 | 100% | 100% | 1% | 2% | – | 59% | 40% | – | 36% | – | |
| TD | P | 100% | 100% | 9% | – | – | 13% | 100% | 17% | 9% | 1% |
| 0 | 100% | 100% | 9% | – | – | 5% | 97% | 50% | 3% | 2% | |
| 10 | 100% | 100% | 9% | – | – | – | 100% | 60% | – | – | |
| 20 | 100% | 100% | 9% | – | – | 14% | 100% | 27% | 6% | 6% | |
| 40 | 100% | 100% | 9% | – | – | – | 100% | 60% | – | – | |
| 60 | 100% | 100% | 5% | 1% | – | 66% | 98% | 23% | – | 8% | |
| 80 | 100% | 100% | 9% | – | – | 100% | – | 100% | 22% | – | |
| 90 | 100% | 100% | 9% | – | – | 87% | – | 100% | 24% | – | |
| TY | P | 100% | 100% | 9% | – | – | 71% | 100% | 10% | 2% | 6% |
| 0 | 100% | 100% | 9% | – | – | 21% | 98% | 50% | 1% | – | |
| 10 | 100% | 100% | 9% | – | – | 93% | 98% | – | 4% | – | |
| 20 | 100% | 100% | 9% | – | – | 36% | 100% | 37% | – | 4% | |
| 40 | 100% | 100% | 9% | – | – | 1% | 100% | 59% | – | – | |
| 60 | 100% | 100% | 9% | – | – | 100% | 100% | 9% | – | 1% | |
| 80 | 100% | 100% | 9% | – | – | 100% | 47% | 100% | – | – | |
| 90 | 100% | 100% | 9% | – | – | 100% | 100% | – | 2% | – | |
R0 = 1.6, 30% vaccine coverage. P: Prevaccination.