Table 1.
Scenario | Assumption | 2015 | 2020 | 2025 | 2030 | 2050 |
Base parameters | ||||||
Baseline* | 31.2 | 37.3 | 44.0 | 51.6 | 102.5 | |
Optimal controls† | 30.7 | 36.7 | 43.5 | 51.2 | 103.6 | |
2.5 degree maximum | ||||||
Maximum† | 184.4 | 229.1 | 284.1 | 351.0 | 1,006.2 | |
Max for 100 y† | 106.7 | 133.1 | 165.1 | 203.7 | 543.3 | |
The Stern Review discounting | ||||||
Uncalibrated† | 197.4 | 266.5 | 324.6 | 376.2 | 629.2 | |
Alternative discount rates* | ||||||
2.5% | 128.5 | 140.0 | 152.0 | 164.6 | 235.7 | |
3% | 79.1 | 87.3 | 95.9 | 104.9 | 156.6 | |
4% | 36.3 | 40.9 | 45.8 | 51.1 | 81.7 | |
5% | 19.7 | 22.6 | 25.7 | 29.1 | 49.2 |
The SCC is measured in 2010 international US dollars.
Calculation along the reference path with current policy.
Calculation along the optimized emissions path.