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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2017 Feb 22.
Published in final edited form as: JAMA Ophthalmol. 2015 Nov;133(11):1314–1321. doi: 10.1001/jamaophthalmol.2015.3345

Table 3. Test performance indices for various levels of toluidine blue vital staining and a comparison of this Kenyan study with studies from South Africa12 and Brazil11.

Staining result Sensitivity (95%CI) Specificity (95%CI) Positive predictive value (95%CI) Negative predictive value (95%CI) Area under the ROC curve (95%CI)
Any blue (dark, pale or mixed) 92% (87% - 96%) 31% (25% - 36%) 41% (35% - 46%) 88% (80% - 94%) .61 (.58 - .65)
Dark royal blue or pale blue 80% (73% - 87%) 51% (45% - 57%) 46% (40% - 52%) 83% (77% - 89%) .66 (.61 - .70)
Dark royal blue 64% (56% - 72%) 67% (61% - 72%) 50% (43% - 58%) 78% (72% - 83%) .66 (.61 - .70)
Pale blue 16% (11% - 23%) 84% (79% - 88%) 34% (23% - 47%) 66% (61% - 71%) .50 (.46 - .54)
Mixed patterna 12% (7% - 19%) 80% (74% - 84%) 23% (14% - 35%) 64% (58% - 69%) .46 (.42 - .49)

Comparison with other studies

Parameter Kenya S. Africa Brazilb

Vital stain dye toluidine blue 0.05% methylene blue 1% toluidine blue 1%
Number of participants 419 75 47
Gender, Female No. (%) 277 (66) 45 (60) 18 (38)
Age, median (IQR), y 37 (32-45) 35c 58c
OSSN prevalence by histopathology No. (%) 142 (34) 33 (44)d 27 (57)
Sensitivity (95%CI) 92% (87% - 96%) 97% (85% - 100%) 100% (87% - 100%)
Specificity (95%CI) 31% (25% - 36%) 50% (36% - 65%) 50% (27% - 73%)
Positive predictive value (95%CI) 41% (35% - 46%) 60% (47% - 72%) 73% (56% - 86%)
Negative predictive value (95%CI) 88% (80% - 94%) 95% (78% - 99%) 100% (69% - 100%)

Abbreviations: ROC, receiver operator characteristic; IQR, interquartile range

a

Some areas of the lesion were deep royal blue and others pale

b

intervals were calculated from the data presented in the paper

c

The interquartile range was not reported in S. Africa and Brazil.

d

In the South African study, 49 (65%) were on the OSSN spectrum, however, in the analysis that was presented CIN was combined in with benign lesions for the calculation of the test parameters.