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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2018 Apr 1.
Published in final edited form as: Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2016 Aug 25;15(4):584–593.e2. doi: 10.1016/j.cgh.2016.07.035

Table 3.

Predictors of patient death and graft failure based on multivariable Cox regression in A2ALL and SRTR*

Patient Death Graft Failure

A2ALL (n=890) SRTR (n=45,423) A2ALL (n=890) SRTR (n=45,423)

Variable Hazard
Ratio
95%
Confidence
Interval
p-value Hazard
Ratio
95%
Confidence
Interval
p-value Hazard
Ratio
95%
Confidence
Interval
p-value Hazard
Ratio
95%
Confidence
Interval
p-value
Biopsy-proven rejection within 6 months post-LT
  < 12 months following rejection 1.86 (1.00, 3.47) 0.05 1.66 (1.52, 1.83) <0.001 1.91 (1.21, 3.01) 0.01 1.77 (1.63, 1.92) <0.001
  > 12 months following rejection 1.23 (0.63, 2.41) 0.54 1.24 (1.13, 1.36) <0.001 1.11 (0.60, 2.05) 0.74 1.32 (1.21, 1.43) <0.001
Biopsy-proven rejection 6–12 months post-LT
  < 12 months following rejection 2.02 (0.27, 15.24) 0.49 2.99 (2.14, 4.18) <0.001 1.57 (0.21, 11.63) 0.66 3.35 (2.54, 4.40) <0.001
  > 12 months following rejection 1.29 (0.17, 9.66) 0.80 1.53 (1.28, 1.83) <0.001 0.96 (0.13, 7.04) 0.96 1.62 (1.37, 1.91) <0.001
Biopsy-proven rejection > 12 months post-LT
  < 12 months following rejection 8.81 (3.37, 23.04) <0.001 3.94 (3.22, 4.83) <0.001 6.79 (2.64, 17.45) <0.001 4.41 (3.71, 5.23) <0.001
  > 12 months following rejection 4.38 (1.49, 12.92) 0.01 1.64 (1.31, 2.04) <0.001 3.35 (1.16, 9.73) 0.03 1.70 (1.39, 2.08) <0.001
Medical severity at transplant (recipient on
ventilator or dialysis)
3.32 (1.51, 7.28) 0.003 1.69 (1.58, 1.82) <0.001 2.95 (1.54, 5.64) 0.001 1.60 (1.50, 1.71) <0.001
Recipient age, per 10 years, < 55 1.18 (0.83, 1.67) 0.35 1.13 (1.09, 1.17) <0.001 0.97 (0.77, 1.22) 0.78 1.02 (0.99, 1.05) 0.31
Recipient age, per 10 years, > 55 2.52 (1.66, 3.83) <0.001 1.45 (1.38, 1.52) <0.001 1.83 (1.29, 2.60) 0.001 1.31 (1.25, 1.37) <0.001
Donor age, per 10 years 1.20 (1.04, 1.38) 0.01 1.11 (1.10, 1.13) <0.001 1.23 (1.10, 1.38) <0.001 1.13 (1.12, 1.14) <0.001
Recipient diagnosis: HCV 1.13 (0.73, 1.76) 0.57 1.45 (1.38, 1.51) <0.001 1.17 (0.83, 1.66) 0.37 1.40 (1.34, 1.46) <0.001
Recipient diagnosis: Autoimmune hepatitis 0.28 (0.07, 1.18) 0.08 0.99 (0.88, 1.12) 0.91 0.28 (0.09, 0.88) 0.03 1.01 (0.91, 1.12) 0.85
Recipient diagnosis: PSC 0.60 (0.30, 1.18) 0.14 0.69 (0.62, 0.78) <0.001 0.74 (0.46, 1.19) 0.21 0.84 (0.76, 0.92) <0.001
Recipient diagnosis: PBC 1.04 (0.52, 2.10) 0.90 0.76 (0.67, 0.86) <0.001 0.76 (0.41, 1.42) 0.39 0.83 (0.75, 0.93) 0.001
MELD at transplant, per 5 points . 1.04 (1.03, 1.05) <0.001 . 1.02 (1.01, 1.04) <0.001
*

In SRTR, time of rejection was randomly assigned in the interval in which rejection was reported to occur.