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Observed cumulative incidence of being in each health state by quintiles of predicted risk in the derivation cohort. Quintile 1 (Q1) refers to the lowest risk quintile and quintile 5 (Q5) refers to the highest risk quintile. HFH refers to heart failure hospitalization. Patients were divided into quintile of predicted risk of transition 2 and the cumulative incidence of being in each health state was plotted.
