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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2017 Aug 1.
Published in final edited form as: Circ Heart Fail. 2016 Aug;9(8):e003146. doi: 10.1161/CIRCHEARTFAILURE.116.003146

Table 2.

Transitional hazard ratios for multi-state prediction model:

Predictor T1: Prevalent HF to HF hospitalization T2: Prevalent HF to Death T3: HF hospitalization to Death

HR 95% CI HR 95% CI HR 95% CI
Age per 10 year increase 1.09 1.02-1.16 1.22 1.13-1.32 1.09 1.00-1.19
Female gender 0.81 0.69-0.96 0.69 0.57-0.83 0.93 0.75-1.17
NYHA III vs II 1.62 1.41-1.85 1.41 1.21-1.64 1.38 1.16-1.65
LVEF per 10% increase 0.73 0.66-0.80 0.76 0.68-0.85 0.88 0.77-1.01
Creatinine per 1mg/dl increase 2.22 1.83-2.68 1.62 1.30-2.01 1.78 1.39-2.29
Sodium (per 10mEQ/L increase) 0.77 0.68-0.88 0.77 0.68-0.88 0.77 0.68-0.88
Systolic Blood Pressure per 10mmHg increase 0.91 0.87-0.94 0.98 0.94-1.02 0.94 0.89-0.99
Weight per 10kg increase 0.92 0.88-0.96 0.86 0.82-0.91 0.84 0.79-0.90
Diabetes mellitus 1.50 1.30-1.72 1.47 1.26-1.71 1.13 0.94-1.36
Ischemic etiology 0.90 0.78-1.03 1.15 0.97-1.35 1.13 0.93-1.37
Atrial fibrillation 1.21 1.05-1.40 1.28 1.09-1.50 0.89 0.73-1.08
Prior stroke 1.28 1.03-1.60 1.52 1.22-1.89 1.16 0.87-1.53

HR indicates hazard ratio, CI confidence interval, HF heart failure, NYHA New York Heart Association, LVEF left ventricular ejection fraction