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. 2017 Feb 5;7(5):1462–1486. doi: 10.1002/ece3.2770

Table A5.

migrate‐N model selection using the approximate log marginal likelihood (lmL) method. The Bézier approximation score was used to calculate the log‐equivalent Bayes factor (LBF) and select the most probable model (in bold) from among these four models. P Mi is the model choice probability

Model No. of parameters Bézier lmL LBF P Mi
Mustelus mustelus
1. Full 4 −21557.47 2086.26 0.00
2. To SEAO only 3 −20514.34 0.00 1.00
3. To SWIO only 3 −20577.89 127.10 0.00
4. Panmictic 1 −29466.69 17904.70 0.00
Mustelus palumbes
1. Full 4 −17365.13 5456.48 0.00
2. To SEAO only 3 −14636.89 0.00 1.00
3. To SWIO only 3 −14797.22 320.66 0.00
4. Panmictic 1 −21372.88 13471.98 0.00
Galeorhinus galeus
1. Full 4 −12243.70 15635.98 0.00
2. To SEAO only 3 −4425.71 0.00 1.00
3. To SWIO only 3 −4502.19 152.96 0.00
4. Panmictic 1 −5765.09 2678.76 0.00
Triakis megalopterus
1. Full 4 −15757.39 12746.02 0.00
2. To SEAO only 3 −9384.38 0.00 1.00
3. To SWIO only 3 −9450.22 131.68 0.00
4. Panmictic 1 −12549.03 6329.30 0.00