Table 5.
Study | Age group | Air pollutant | Period | Percent changea (95% confidence interval) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cumulative | Single lag | ||||
Non-accidental deaths | |||||
São Paulob (this study) | Elderly | PM10 | Lag 0 to 40 | 0.00 (–0.92, 0.92) | 0.37 (0.20, 0.55)c |
Milan (Zanobetti et al. 2000)b | All ages | TSP | Lag 0 to 45 | 6.70 (3.80, 9.60) | 2.20 (1.40, 3.10) |
Boston (Schwartz 2000a)d | All ages | PM2.5 | 60-day window | 3.75 (3.20, 4.30) | 2.10 (1.50, 4.30) |
10 European Cities (Zanobetti et al. 2002)b | All ages | PM10 | Lag 0 to 40 | 1.57 (0.26, 2.88) | 0.70 (0.43, 0.97) |
Dublin (Goodman et al. 2004)b | All ages | BS | Lag 0 to 40 | 1.10 (0.80, 1.30) | 0.40 (0.30, 0.60) |
Circulatory deaths | |||||
São Paulob (this study) | Elderly | PM10 | Lag 0 to 30 | –1.11 (–2.21, 0.01) | 0.01 (–0.27, 0.29)e |
10 European Cities (Zanobetti et al. 2003)e | All ages | PM10 | Lag 0 to 40 | 1.72 (1.20, 2.25) | 0.69 (0.31, 1.08) |
Dublin (Goodman et al. 2004)b | All ages | BS | Lag 0 to 40 | 1.10 (0.70, 1.50) | 0.40 (0.20, 0.70) |
Respiratory deaths | |||||
São Paulob (this study) | Elderly | PM10 | Lag 0 to 30 | 2.81 (0.99, 4.66) | 1.33 (0.83, 1.83)e |
10 European Cities (Zanobetti et al. 2003)e | All ages | PM10 | Lag 0 to 40 | 2.62 (0.19, 5.11) | 0.74 (–0.17, 1.66) |
Dublin (Goodman et al. 2004)b | All ages | BS | Lag 0 to 40 | 3.60 (3.00, 4.30) | 0.20 (0.00, 0.50) |
Notes: BS, black smoke; PM2.5, particulate matter smaller than 2.5 μm; PM10, particulate matter smaller than 10 μm; TSP, total suspended particulate. aInterquartile range increase in Zanobetti et al. (2000) and 10-μg/m3 increase in other studies. bDistributed lag model constrained with polynomial structure. cLag 0. dSTL (standard template library) algorithms with LOESS (locally weighted smoothing). eUnconstrained distributed lag model. |