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. 2016 Oct 7;125(3):349–354. doi: 10.1289/EHP98

Table 5.

Cumulative percent change (95% confidence interval) in number of nonaccidental, circulatory, and respiratory deaths by 10 μg/m3 increase in particulate air pollution among studies.

Study Age group Air pollutant Period Percent changea (95% confidence interval)
Cumulative Single lag
Non-accidental deaths
São Paulob (this study) Elderly PM10 Lag 0 to 40 0.00 (–0.92, 0.92) 0.37 (0.20, 0.55)c
Milan (Zanobetti et al. 2000)b All ages TSP Lag 0 to 45 6.70 (3.80, 9.60) 2.20 (1.40, 3.10)
Boston (Schwartz 2000a)d All ages PM2.5 60-day window 3.75 (3.20, 4.30) 2.10 (1.50, 4.30)
10 European Cities (Zanobetti et al. 2002)b All ages PM10 Lag 0 to 40 1.57 (0.26, 2.88) 0.70 (0.43, 0.97)
Dublin (Goodman et al. 2004)b All ages BS Lag 0 to 40 1.10 (0.80, 1.30) 0.40 (0.30, 0.60)
Circulatory deaths
São Paulob (this study) Elderly PM10 Lag 0 to 30 –1.11 (–2.21, 0.01) 0.01 (–0.27, 0.29)e
10 European Cities (Zanobetti et al. 2003)e All ages PM10 Lag 0 to 40 1.72 (1.20, 2.25) 0.69 (0.31, 1.08)
Dublin (Goodman et al. 2004)b All ages BS Lag 0 to 40 1.10 (0.70, 1.50) 0.40 (0.20, 0.70)
Respiratory deaths
São Paulob (this study) Elderly PM10 Lag 0 to 30 2.81 (0.99, 4.66) 1.33 (0.83, 1.83)e
10 European Cities (Zanobetti et al. 2003)e All ages PM10 Lag 0 to 40 2.62 (0.19, 5.11) 0.74 (–0.17, 1.66)
Dublin (Goodman et al. 2004)b All ages BS Lag 0 to 40 3.60 (3.00, 4.30) 0.20 (0.00, 0.50)
Notes: BS, black smoke; PM2.5, particulate matter smaller than 2.5 μm; PM10, particulate matter smaller than 10 μm; TSP, total suspended particulate. aInterquartile range increase in Zanobetti et al. (2000) and 10-μg/m3 increase in other studies. bDistributed lag model constrained with polynomial structure. cLag 0. dSTL (standard template library) algorithms with LOESS (locally weighted smoothing). eUnconstrained distributed lag model.