Table III.

Calibration, discrimination and Brier score for 30-day mortality in the whole cohort

Risk model	Calibration intercept (95% CI)⁎	Calibration slope (95% CI)	AUC (95% CI)	Brier score
LES	−1.75 (−1.86, −1.64)	0.35 (0.23, 0.48)	0.57 (0.54, 0.61)	0.093
ESII	−0.47 (−0.59, −0.36)	0.40 (0.28, 0.53)	0.59 (0.55, 0.62)	0.054
STS	0.07 (−0.04, 0.18)	0.56 (0.42, 0.71)	0.60 (0.57, 0.63)	0.051
German AV	−0.36 (−0.47, −0.25)	0.44 (0.32, 0.57)	0.59 (0.56, 0.62)	0.053
FRANCE-2	−0.60 (−0.71, −0.49)	0.69 (0.53, 0.86)	0.62 (0.59, 0.65)	0.053
OBSERVANT	−0.31 (−0.42, −0.20)	0.39 (0.25, 0.53)	0.57 (0.54, 0.60)	0.052
ACC TAVI	0.04 (−0.07, 0.15)	0.67 (0.52, 0.82)	0.64 (0.60, 0.67)	0.051

^⁎The reported calibration intercept is that estimated assuming a slope of one; satisfactory calibration would occur if the 95% confidence intervals for the calibration intercept and slope span zero and one respectively. Bold items indicate that the 95% CI spans the corresponding reference value.