Table 3.
Calibration and discrimination results for the scoring methods in predicting mortality
Calibration | Discrimination | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
goodness-of-fit (χ 2) | df | p | AUC ± SE | 95% CI | p | |
Postoperative SOFA | 3.361 | 6 | 0.762 | 0.912 ± 0.019 | 0.875 – 0.949 | <0.001 |
Postoperative APACHE II | 6.335 | 8 | 0.610 | 0.866 ± 0.027 | 0.813 – 0.919 | <0.001 |
STS-risk of mortality | 29.654 | 8 | <0.001 | 0.898 ± 0.017 | 0.864 – 0.932 | <0.001 |
EuroSCORE II | 40.472 | 8 | <0.001 | 0.863 ± 0.022 | 0.821 – 0.906 | <0.001 |
Abbreviations: APACHE Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation, AUC area under the curve, CI confidence interval, df degree of freedom, EuroSCORE European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation, SE standard error, SOFA Sequential Organ Failure Assessment, STS Society of Thoracic Surgeons