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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2018 Apr 15.
Published in final edited form as: J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr. 2017 Apr 15;74(5):555–562. doi: 10.1097/QAI.0000000000001293

Table 2. Factors associated with permanent LTFU, defined as no clinic visit for 180 days, among all patients under follow-up.

Events / pys Rate per 100 pys (95% CI) Univariate Multivariate


SHR 95% CI p value SHR 95% CI p value
743 / 26217 2.83 (2.64, 3.05)

Year of ART Initiation 0.595 0.746
 2003-2005 67 / 4531 1.48 (1.16, 1.88) 0.74 (0.57, 0.96) 0.023 0.73 (0.56, 0.95) 0.021
 2006-2009 396 / 12734 3.11 (2.82, 3.43) 1.00 1.00
 2010-2013 280 / 8952 3.13 (2.78, 3.52) 0.90 (0.77, 1.07) 0.231 0.83 (0.69, 0.99) 0.034

Age at ART initiation (years) 0.005 0.003
 ≤30 245 / 6694 3.66 (3.23, 4.15) 1.00 1.00
 31-40 255 / 10721 2.38 (2.10, 2.69) 0.67 (0.56, 0.80) <0.001 0.67 (0.56, 0.80) <0.001
 41-50 150 / 5548 2.70 (2.30, 3.17) 0.73 (0.59, 0.91) 0.004 0.72 (0.58, 0.89) 0.002
 51+ 93 / 3254 2.86 (2.33, 3.50) 0.71 (0.55, 0.92) 0.008 0.69 (0.53, 0.90) 0.007

Sex
 Male 503 / 18147 2.77 (2.54, 3.02) 1.00 1.00
 Female 240 / 8070 2.97 (2.62, 3.38) 1.05 (0.89, 1.25) 0.546 1.13 (0.94, 1.36) 0.186

Mode of HIV Exposure <0.001 0.005
 Heterosexual contact 503 / 18139 2.77 (2.54, 3.03) 1.00 1.00
 Homosexual contact 106 / 3893 2.72 (2.25, 3.29) 1.21 (0.95, 1.54) 0.130 1.36 (1.05, 1.76) 0.021
 Injecting drug use 65 / 1786 3.64 (2.85, 4.64) 1.89 (1.41, 2.55) <0.001 1.65 (1.19, 2.30) 0.003
 Other/unknown 69 / 2400 2.88 (2.27, 3.64) 1.16 (0.89, 1.52) 0.269 1.11 (0.85, 1.44) 0.440

Time-updated CD4 (cells/μL) <0.001 <0.001
 ≤50 117 / 1175 9.96 (8.31, 11.93) 1.00 1.00
 51-100 61 / 1098 5.56 (4.32, 7.14) 0.60 (0.43, 0.82) 0.001 0.59 (0.43, 0.82) 0.001
 101-200 144 / 3679 3.91 (3.32, 4.61) 0.50 (0.39, 0.65) <0.001 0.48 (0.37, 0.62) <0.001
 201+ 369 / 16883 2.19 (1.97, 2.42) 0.34 (0.27, 0.44) <0.001 0.32 (0.25, 0.41) <0.001
 Not tested 52 / 3382 1.54 (1.17, 2.02) 0.21 (0.15, 0.30) <0.001 0.19 (0.14, 0.28) <0.001

Time-updated HIV viral load (copies/mL)
 ≤100000 177 / 8500 2.08 (1.80, 2.41) 1.00 1.00
 >100000 14 / 462 3.03 (1.80, 5.12) 0.83 (0.47, 1.48) 0.535 0.58 (0.32, 1.05) 0.072
 Not tested 552 / 17256 3.20 (2.94, 3.48) 0.96 (0.78, 1.18) 0.699 0.84 (0.67, 1.04) 0.114

First ART regimen 0.333 0.390
 NRTI+NNRTI 700 / 23879 2.93 (2.72, 3.16) 1.00 1.00
 NRTI+PI 41 / 2127 1.93 (1.42, 2.62) 1.01 (0.70, 1.46) 0.965 1.03 (0.71, 1.49) 0.873
 Other 2 / 211 0.95 (0.24, 3.8) 0.36 (0.09, 1.40) 0.140 0.38 (0.10, 1.55) 0.178

Hepatitis B co-infection 0.170
 Negative 519 / 20693 2.51 (2.3, 2.73) 1.00 1.00
 Positive 59 / 2362 2.50 (1.94, 3.22) 1.04 (0.80, 1.37) 0.755 1.01 (0.77, 1.33) 0.936
 Not tested 165 / 3162 5.22 (4.48, 6.08) 1.89 (1.53, 2.34) <0.001 1.43 (0.99, 2.08) 0.060

Hepatitis C co-infection 0.002
 Negative 499 / 20472 2.44 (2.23, 2.66) 1.00 1.00
 Positive 73 / 2364 3.09 (2.46, 3.88) 1.79 (1.39, 2.31) <0.001 1.54 (1.16, 2.05) 0.003
 Not tested 171 / 3382 5.06 (4.35, 5.87) 2.00 (1.62, 2.46) <0.001 1.50 (1.04, 2.18) 0.030

Clinical Site <0.001 <0.001
 Cambodia 323 / 9706 3.33 (2.98, 3.71) 1.00 1.00
 Hong Kong 14 / 3110 0.45 (0.27, 0.76) 0.14 (0.08, 0.23) <0.001 0.11 (0.06, 0.20) <0.001
 Indonesia 114 / 3128 3.64 (3.03, 4.38) 1.02 (0.82, 1.27) 0.848 0.53 (0.40, 0.70) <0.001
 Singapore 222 / 5485 4.05 (3.55, 4.62) 1.06 (0.89, 1.27) 0.480 1.00 (0.78, 1.27) 0.975
 Vietnam (Site 1) 4 / 1533 0.26 (0.10, 0.70) 0.06 (0.02, 0.15) <0.001 0.04 (0.01, 0.11) <0.001
 Vietnam (Site 2) 29 / 1274 2.28 (1.58, 3.28) 0.45 (0.30, 0.66) <0.001 0.29 (0.18, 0.45) <0.001
 South Korea 37 / 1980 1.87 (1.35, 2.58) 0.64 (0.45, 0.90) 0.009 0.56 (0.35, 0.89) 0.013
ˆ

Global p-values are test for linear trend while all other global p-values are test for heterogeneity.

Note that global p-value test was not conducted if there were only two categories when using test for heterogeneity or three categories where one was ‘Not tested’ when using test for linear trend.

1

Multivariate model was adjusted for year of ART initiation, age at ART initiation, sex, mode of HIV exposure, time-updated CD4 count, time-updated HIV viral load, first ART regimen, hepatitis B co-infection, hepatitis C co-infection and clinical site.

2

NRTI = nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor.

3

NNRTI = nonnucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor.

4

PI = protease inhibitor.

5

Includes all other antiretroviral drug regimen combinations.