Fig. 4.

Timelines predicted by the single and multi-model ensemble fits for reaching the WHO threshold of 1% mf prevalence as a result of annual MDA (65% coverage) for three hypothetical settings, one each in sub-Saharan Africa (A), Asia (B), and Papua New Guinea (C). These results are shown for three values of baseline community-level mf prevalence: (A) 10% for a sub-Saharan African setting; (B) 5% for an Asian setting; and (C) 40% for a PNG setting. The horizontal dot-dashed line in each time series graph depicts the WHO 1% mf prevalence threshold.