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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2017 Mar 10.
Published in final edited form as: Ann Surg. 2012 Sep;256(3):428–436. doi: 10.1097/SLA.0b013e3182654494

Table 5.

Univariable and multivariable competing risk models

Univariable Multivariable

Local recurrence HR (95% CI) p-value HR (95% CI) p-value
Age, years 0.96 (0.95 – 0.98) <0.0001 0.98 (0.96 – 0.99) 0.020

Tumor size 1.13 (1.00 – 1.27) 0.045 0.99 (0.78 – 1.25) 0.93

Clinical stage
    T1 1.00 (ref) --- ---
    T2 1.68 (1.05 – 2.69) 0.031

LVI
    absent 1.00 (ref) 1.00 (ref)
    present 1.60 (0.98 – 2.62) 0.062 1.33 (0.74 – 2.38) 0.34

Tumor Grade
    I 1.00 (ref) 1.00 (ref)
    II 1.77 (1.06 – 2.94) 0.028 1.24 (0.70 – 2.16) 0.45
    III 3.25 (1.96 – 5.39) <0.0001 1.59 (0.81 – 3.12) 0.18

HR status
    negative 1.00 (ref) 1.00 (ref)
    positive 0.32 (0.22 – 0.46) <0.0001 0.35 (0.20 – 0.62) 0.0003

Chemotherapy
    no 1.00 (ref) 1.00 (ref)
    yes 1.43 (0.99 – 2.05) 0.054 0.58 (0.35 – 0.95) 0.030

Hormonal therapy
    no 1.00 (ref) --- ---
    yes 0.45 (0.31 – 0.65) <0.0001

Radiation therapy
    no 1.00 (ref) 1.00 (ref)
    yes 0.89 (0.45 – 1.75) 0.73 0.78 (0.38 – 1.62) 0.51

Local-Regional recurrence

Age, years 0.97 (0.95 – 0.98) <0.0001 0.98 (0.96 – 1.00) 0.049
Tumor size 1.14 (1.02 – 1.27) 0.019 1.01 (0.82 – 1.25) 0.91
Clinical stage
    T1 1.00 (ref) --- ---
    T2 1.87 (1.29 – 2.88) 0.005
LVI
    absent 1.00 (ref) 1.00 (ref)
    present 1.80 (1.14 – 2.83) 0.011 1.49 (0.87 – 2.55) 0.14

Tumor Grade
    I 1.00 (ref) 1.00 (ref)
    II 1.66 (1.02 – 2.69) 0.040 1.12 (0.66 – 1.91) 0.68
    III 3.21 (1.99 – 5.16) <0.0001 1.66 (0.88 – 3.13) 0.11

HR status
    negative 1.00 (ref) 1.00 (ref)
    positive 0.33 (0.23 – 0.48) <0.0001 0.42 (0.24 – 0.71) 0.0014
Chemotherapy
    no 1.00 (ref) 1.00 (ref)
    yes 1.42 (1.00 – 2.01) 0.049 0.60 (0.37 – 0.97) 0.0039
Hormonal therapy
    no 1.00 (ref) --- ---
    yes 0.45 (0.32 – 0.64) <0.0001
Radiation therapy
    no 1.00 (ref) 1.00 (ref)
    yes 0.87 (0.45 – 1.65) 0.66 0.85 (0.41 – 1.76) 0.67

Distant recurrence HR (95% CI) p-value HR (95% CI) p-value

Age, years 0.99 (0.97 – 1.00) 0.083 0.99 (0.98 – 1.01) 0.57
Tumor size 1.19 (1.09 – 1.30) <0.0001 1.16 (0.99 – 1.35) 0.064
Clinical stage
    T1 1.00 (ref) --- ---
    T2 1.90 (1.22 – 2.97) 0.005
LVI
    absent 1.00 (ref) 1.00 (ref)
    present 2.23 (1.44 – 3.45) 0.0003 2.03 (1.22 – 3.37) 0.0064

Tumor Grade
    I 1.00 (ref) 1.00 (ref)
    II 2.00 (1.20 – 3.34) 0.0078 2.33 (1.22 – 4.42) 0.0099
    III 3.92 (2.37 – 6.48) <0.0001 3.43 (1.67 – 7.04) 0.0008

HR status
    negative 1.00 (ref) 1.00 (ref)
    positive 0.51 (0.35 – 0.76) 0.001 1.08 (0.60 – 1.96) 0.79
Chemotherapy
    no 1.00 (ref) 1.00 (ref)
    yes 1.69 (1.16 – 2.46) 0.006 0.97 (0.59 – 1.59) 0.91
Hormonal therapy
    no 1.00 (ref) --- ---
    yes 0.72 (0.49 – 1.05) 0.087
Radiation therapy
    no 1.00 (ref) 1.00 (ref)
    yes 0.53 (0.30 – 0.93) 0.028 0.56 (0.29 – 1.08) 0.083

HR– hormone receptor; LVI– lymphovascular invasion