Table 3.

Models predicting the effect of early‐life ecological conditions on lifetime reproduction and survival. Parameter estimates (±standard errors) for models fitted to males and females are shown, along with likelihood‐ratio chi‐square statistics and p‐values. Significant effects of early‐life ecological conditions are highlighted in bold

Model predicting	Explanatory variable	Males				Females
		β	SE	χ2	p	β	SE	χ2	p
Body condition	Intercept	1,451.14	113.43			1,211.50	303.06
	Age	17.26	4.26	16.08	<.001	12.61	7.91	2.51	.11
	Mean monthly rainfall in first year	−3.68	1.81	4.26	.04	0.19	4.76	2.00E−05	.99
	SD monthly rainfall in first year	2.89	1.05	7.49	.006	0.81	1.32	0.43	.51
Successful reproduction in lifetime	Intercept	−7.10	4.63			2.96	4.72
	Mean monthly rainfall in first year	0.06	0.05	1.76	.19	−0.04	0.07	0.40	.53
	SD monthly rainfall in first year	0.07	0.03	5.41	.02	0.01	0.04	0.06	.81
In successful reproducers, proportion of potential pups assigned in lifetime	Intercept	−6.77	1.59			5.02	3.30
	Mean monthly rainfall in first year	0.08	0.03	9.47	.002	−0.08	0.05	3.44	.06
	SD monthly rainfall in first year	1.40E−03	0.01	0.01	.91	−0.04	0.02	5.24	.02
Lifetime reproductive success	Intercept	−3.61	3.58			0.46	4.28
	Mean monthly rainfall in first year	0.01	0.06	0.02	.89	−0.01	0.06	2.49	.11
	SD monthly rainfall in first year	0.08	0.04	5.14	.02	−0.002	0.03	3.11	.08
Lifespan	Intercept	6.47	0.64			7.50	0.60
	Mean monthly rainfall in first year	−3.12E−04	0.01			−0.01	0.01	0.37	.54
	SD monthly rainfall in first year	0.015	0.005	7.27	.01	−0.01	0.01	2.23	.14
	Successfully reproduced in lifetime (1/0)	2.53	0.95			0.54	0.13	18.03	<.001
	Successfully reproduced in lifetime ×
	Mean monthly rainfall in first year	−0.03	0.02	4.27	.04	−0.02	0.02	1.02	.31
	SD monthly rainfall in first year	0.02	0.01	3.19	.07	−0.01	0.01	0.24	.62