Skip to main content
. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2017 Nov 1.
Published in final edited form as: Am J Prev Med. 2016 Aug 29;51(5):731–742. doi: 10.1016/j.amepre.2016.07.005

Table 2.

Incidence and Predictors of Sexual and Physical Violence Over Follow-up

Sexual violence Physical violence
Incidence
rate/100
person years
Adjusted
Incidence
Rate Ratio
(aIRR)a
95% CI Incidence rate/
100 person
years
Adjusted
Incidence
Rate Ratio
(aIRR)a
95% CI
Total over the follow-up 1.6
(425/26,363)
-- -- 3.8
(996/26,363)
-- --
Model 1: Dose Response (number of GBV types at index) a
0 0.7 1.00 -- 1.8 1.00 --
1 1.3 1.44 0.96–2.14 3.4 1.60*** 1.25–2.04
2 2.5 2.16*** 1.45–
3.23
5.6 2.11**** 1.63–2.73
3 4.6 3.12**** 1.86–5.23 7.4 2.21**** 1.55–3.13
Model 2: Main Effects (type of GBV at index) a
  None 0.7 1.00 -- 1.8 1.00 --
  CSA 2.4 1.17 0.88–1.56 5.2 1.14 0.95–1.37
  IPV 2.2 1.69*** 1.26–2.26 4.8 1.38*** 1.16–1.65
  NPSA 2.8 1.60** 1.21–2.11 6.0 1.47**** 1.22–1.76
Model 3: GBV Polyvictimization groupings at indexa
None 0.7 1.00 -- 1.8 1.00 --
  CSA only 0.4 0.59 0.23–1.51 2.0 1.12 0.71–1.77
  IPV only 1.2 1.44 0.93–2.23 3.2 1.61*** 1.24–2.08
  NPSA only 1.7 1.74* 1.01–2.99 4.4 1.76** 1.24–2.48
  IPV & NPSA only 2.9 2.45**** 1.57–3.82 6.1 2.19**** 1.64–2.93
  CSA with IPV or NPSA 1.9 1.84** 1.16–2.93 4.8 2.02**** 1.50–2.72
  IPV, NPSA and CSA 4.6 3.17**** 1.89–5.31 7.4 2.23**** 1.57–3.19
Covariates included in all adjusted models (estimates presented from Model 3)
Timing of enrollment and follow-up
Years from index visit 0.92**** 0.90–0.95 0.91**** 0.90–0.93
Year of index visit
  1994–1995 1.6 1.00 -- 4.0 1.00 --
  2006–2007 1.3 0.79 0.57–1.10 3.1 0.74** 0.60–0.92
  2011–2012 2.1 1.04 0.60–1.80 3.3 0.69* 0.48–0.99
Demographics
Age at index visit (per 10 years) 0.87 0.74–1.03 0.71**** 0.63–0.80
Race/ethnicity
  African-American 1.7 1.03 0.69–1.55 3.9 0.85 0.67–1.07
  Hispanic/Latina 0.8 0.58* 0.36–0.96 2.9 0.67** 0.50–0.89
  Asian/Native American/Other 3.3 1.61 0.79–3.26 4.4 0.76 0.49–1.20
  White 1.8 1.00 -- 4.7 1.00 --
Sexual identity: lesbian/bisexual/other 2.4 (vs. 1.5) 1.00 0.74–1.37 5.7 (vs. 3.5) 1.12 0.92–1.36
Structural factors
  Not married or partneredb 1.8 (vs. 1.3) 1.34* 1.02–1.75 3.8 (vs. 3.8) 0.91 0.78–1.05
  Less than high school education 1.5 (vs. 1.7) 0.90 0.68–1.18 4.3 (vs. 3.5) 1.01 0.85–1.19
  Annual income less than $18,000b 2.0 (vs. 1.0) 1.38* 1.03–1.85 4.6 (vs. 2.4) 1.22* 1.01–1.45
  Housing status: unstable or
  housingb
3.9 (vs. 1.5) 1.10 0.81–1.48 9.5 (vs. 3.4) 1.37*** 1.15–1.62
  Not employedb 1.8 (vs. 1.2) 0.81 0.60–1.09 4.6 (vs. 2.1) 1.38** 1.14–1.67
Transactional sex and HIV status
  HIV status 1.6 (vs. 1.5) 1.17 0.89–1.52 3.7 (vs. 4.1) 0.89 0.75–1.07
  Transactional sex
  Ever, reported at index visit 2.4 (vs. 1.2) 0.82 0.59–1.15 5.6 (vs. 2.7) 0.99 0.80–1.22
  Recent transactional sexb 12.2
(vs. 1.2)
2.98**** 2.12–4.19 18.2
(vs. 3.3)
1.29* 1.03–1.61
Alcohol and drug use
  Drank more than 7 drinks per
  weekb
2.4 (vs. 1.5) 0.80 0.60–1.07 7.6 (vs. 3.1) 1.44**** 1.21–1.71
  Injected drug use at index visit 1.9 (vs. 1.5) 0.96 0.71–1.29 4.9 (vs. 3.3) 1.09 0.89–1.33
  Non-injected drug use at index
  visit
1.9 (vs. 0.7) 1.24 0.76–2.02 4.4 (vs. 1.5) 1.30 0.95–1.78
  Marijuana useb 3.5 (vs. 1.1) 1.57** 1.19–2.08 7.8 (vs. 2.7) 1.43**** 1.22–1.68
  Crack/cocaine/heroin useb 4.4 (vs. 1.1) 1.15 0.83–1.59 10.7 (vs. 2.6) 1.76**** 1.46–2.11
Opposite form of violence, same
time period
-- 6.56**** 4.84–8.88 -- 4.57**** 3.70–5.63

Note: Boldface indicates statistical significance

*

p<0.05;

**

p<0.01;

***

p<0.001;

****

p<0.0001

a

All models adjusted for the full set of covariates presented for model 3.

b

Time-varying

CSA, childhood sexual abuse; IPV, intimate partner violence; NPSA, non-partner sexual assault