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. 2017 Mar 16;5:2293. Originally published 2016 Sep 12. [Version 2] doi: 10.12688/f1000research.9414.2

Table 2. Results from baseline analysis and secondary analysis varying the proportion of hospitalised cases receiving NAIs.

Hospitalised
patients with
influenza
receiving NAIs
(%)		 Expected net
benefit (£m),
(95% credible
interval)		 Median
net
benefit		 Decision
1 100 444
(-808, 8,383)		 -560 Stockpile
2 70 143
(-734, 5,700)		 -560 Stockpile
3 50 -58
(-684, 3,911)		 -560 Not
Stockpile
4 30 -259
(-634, 2,123)		 -560 Not
Stockpile

The decision is to stockpile if the expected net benefit is greater than zero and not to stockpile otherwise. The willingness to pay per QALY is £20,000/QALY in all scenarios.