Table 1.
Detected number of outbreaks at day 14 (θi), provincial herd densities (ωi), and detected and predicted number of outbreaks after day 14 for each affected province.
| Province | Number of outbreaks until day 14 θi | (ωi) | Number of outbreaks after day 14 |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detected | Predicted |
||||
| Ci model I | Ci model II | ||||
| Buenos Aires | 21 | 0.2 | 1,477 | 1,189 | 1,049 |
| Catamarcaa | 1 | – | 0 | – | – |
| Chaco | 1 | 0.11 | 6 | 22 | 16 |
| Cordoba | 3 | 0.36 | 73 | 33 | 68 |
| Corrientes | 3 | 0.08 | 75 | 33 | 21 |
| Entre Rios | 4 | 0.4 | 159 | 40 | 98 |
| Formosa | 1 | 0.11 | 4 | 22 | 16 |
| Jujuy | 1 | 0.03 | 3 | 22 | 11 |
| La Pampa | 6 | 0.07 | 142 | 60 | 35 |
| Mendozaa | 1 | – | 0 | – | – |
| Misiones | 1 | 0.3 | 10 | 22 | 36 |
| Rio Negroa | 2 | – | 0 | – | – |
| Salta | 1 | 0.04 | 3 | 22 | 12 |
| San Luis | 9 | 0.09 | 17 | 108 | 67 |
| Santa Fe | 17 | 0.2 | 166 | 535 | 491 |
| Santiago del Estero | 2 | 0.06 | 30 | 27 | 16 |
| Tucuman | 3 | 0.12 | 2 | 33 | 24 |
aNot included in subsequent analyses due to 0 outbreaks after day 14.